Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Ltd
Q2 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis
Auto Components
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The company is not currently planning a large new fundraising through debt or equity.
- They have sufficient cash on hand (~Rs. 1.3 billion) and expect to generate approximately Rs. 2.5 billion in cash flow over the next one to two years.
- CAPEX plans are focused on capacity enhancement and technology upgradation but are moderate, not expecting Rs. 5 billion immediately (possibly spread over three years).
- Management emphasized cautious spending of cash, focusing on payback and balanced CAPEX.
- There is no mention of immediate equity fundraising.
- Dividend policy review is anticipated once the current investment cycle completes.
- The company aims to remain cash positive to support growth and global customer sustainability needs.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- CAPEX for capacity enhancement planned for current and next year, focusing mainly on export growth.
- Last year's CAPEX was around Rs. 47 crores for capacity enhancement and plant modernization.
- This year's CAPEX expected to be significantly more than last year's but not a large jump like Rs. 5 billion immediately.
- Future CAPEX will also target technology upgradation, including heavy load and turbo engine products.
- CAPEX spread over one to two years; no immediate large spend, but incremental investments aligned with market growth.
- Working capital will also increase alongside CAPEX for capacity expansion.
- Global support capacity available (Turkey, Poland) acts as backup for any sudden market spikes.
- Dividend policy to be reviewed post completion of this investment cycle.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Company achieved 90%-95% capacity utilization in Q1 (Jan-Mar 2021), indicating strong current operations.
- Expecting substantial growth in domestic market during 2021-22 despite COVID impacts.
- Expansion underway, with CAPEX planned for capacity enhancement, mainly directed towards exports.
- Export share currently 14%, aiming to increase significantly with more Euro VI compliant programs and global engine platforms.
- Mid- to long-term plans unchanged despite short-term COVID disruptions; growth driven by OEM market positioning and new global platforms.
- Future CAPEX expected to be higher than the prior year but carefully managed; not expected to jump to Rs. 5 billion immediately, spread over multiple years.
- Sustainable EBITDA margin targeted around mid-double digits (14%-15%), assuming normal market conditions post-COVID.
- Focused on localization to reduce dependence on imports, while maintaining global support for spikes in market demand.
- Growth driven by technology upgradation, heavy load and turbo engines, and hybrid vehicle production.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- **Sustainable EBITDA Margin:** Management expects a mid-double-digit sustainable EBITDA margin in the range of 14-15% under normal market conditions (Manish Chadha, Page 16).
- **Capacity Utilization:** Currently operating at 90-95% capacity, with planned capacity enhancements targeting export growth and technology upgrades (Pages 15-16).
- **Revenue Growth:** Anticipated growth driven by global platform ties and export expansion, although exact peak revenue without CAPEX is uncertain (Page 16).
- **CAPEX Plans:** Moderate CAPEX planned over next 1-2 years focused on capacity expansion and technology upgrades, but no large immediate CAPEX > Rs. 5 billion expected (Pages 14-16).
- **Dividend Policy:** Review of dividend payout likely once current investment cycle completes, balancing cash conservation for growth (Pages 11, 16).
- **Earnings Impact:** Excluding exceptional items, EPS showed positive growth and operational profitability improving over last year despite COVID impacts (Pages 7,16).
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The transcript does not explicitly mention specific details about the current or expected order book or pending orders for Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited.
- However, it does indicate optimism about growth opportunities driven by technology upgradation, capacity expansion, and increased export focus.
- The company is engaging with global customers and OEMs, especially regarding future engine developments and hybrid vehicle components.
- The capacity utilization has been high (90-95% in January-March quarter) with plans for capacity enhancement and export growth.
- The management is cautiously planning CAPEX to meet potential demand spikes but is not committing to very large immediate capital expenditure.
- They also have global support and contingency plans to manage demand spikes without major investment short-term.
- Overall, the outlook suggests a pipeline of orders consistent with market growth and technological shifts but no quantifiable order book figures are shared.
