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Foods & Inns LtdQ2 FY23

Foods & Inns Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 54.2P/E: 14.8Market Cap: ₹462 CrSector: Food Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

No

Order

No

Capex

Yes

1 of 5 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Volume growth for the current fiscal year is expected around 15% to 20% on an annualized basis, although Q1 was impacted by unseasonal rains and the beverage industry's slower growth. (Page 13-14)
  • Company remains hopeful to recover substantially in the next 8-9 months and regain the anticipated growth trajectory. (Page 14)
  • Revenue growth is driven by increased production, especially a 40% higher mango pulp production than the previous season, which will be dispatched over 12-15 months. (Page 7)
  • Realization per kg is expected to vary with mango varieties, some higher and some lower, balancing overall revenue. (Page 13)
  • Expansion into other fruit and vegetable pulps is targeted to reduce dependency on mango pulp from 85% revenues closer to 50-60% in the coming years. (Page 6)
  • New product launches like Tetra Recart and ready-to-eat categories expected to add to future revenues, with trials and commercial scaling ongoing. (Page 9)
  • Asset turns for new CAPEX projects anticipated at around 3x to boost revenue growth. (Page 12)

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company expects volume growth of around 15% to 20% annually, though Q1 saw some weather-related setbacks impacting volume recovery.
  • Revenue growth is anticipated through increased realizations in mango pulp, especially for varieties like Alphonso with premium pricing.
  • Operating cash flow is expected to turn positive this year due to lower raw material prices compared to last year.
  • The company aims for an asset turnover ratio of about 3x on new CAPEX of Rs. 40-50 crores, indicating good revenue growth potential from investments.
  • Profit before tax benefits from increased volumes, operating leverage, and price pass-through models, which stabilize margins.
  • Expansion into tomato processing and pectin production by late FY24 is expected to contribute to earnings growth.
  • PLI (Production Linked Incentive) benefits of around Rs. 20 crores are expected by March 2024, providing additional earnings support.
  • Overall, growth in earnings and profits is linked to volume expansion, product diversification, and improved operational efficiency.

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Fundraise plans

No
  • Currently, there are no active plans for new equity fundraising; a recent planned fundraise has been deferred as the opportunity did not materialize.
  • Previous equity warrants issued in December 2022 are in process, with investors partially converting them into equity; full subscription expected by June 2024.
  • Future equity raising will depend on value-accretive opportunities arising in the market.
  • Regarding promoter shareholding, there are plans being considered with a timeline until June next year; no dilution is expected from these promoter plans as they may be non-dilutive.
  • No specific mention of new debt fundraising; existing working capital needs are supported by increased production, leading to increased working capital borrowings and finance costs, but no new debt plan announced.
  • Overall, fundraising activities are opportunistic and contingent on market conditions and value propositions.

Order book

No
  • The company operates with long-term contracts, typically 12 to 15 months in duration, especially during the mango season.
  • Larger brand customers, including Fortune 500 companies, honor their committed orders without fallback.
  • Revenue recognition depends on the timing of customer call-offs rather than order cancellations; orders are fulfilled as per contract schedules throughout the year.
  • At present, the company has confirmed orders in hand, but precise volume/ revenue estimates for the full fiscal year are difficult to provide due to variability in customer call-off timing.
  • Post Q2, the company expects to have better clarity on estimated annual volumes based on order execution trends.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Foods & Inns plans a total CAPEX of around Rs. 40-50 crores for the current fiscal year, already funded through equity.
  • For FY25, no major CAPEX planned except for spray drying capacity expansion and tomato processing plant.
  • The company expects a minimum asset turnover of around 3x from the current CAPEX investments.
  • A tomato concentrate plant is planned, expected to start production from October.
  • The pectin manufacturing project is slightly delayed but expected to start by end of September 2023.
  • Expansion in export markets (e.g., for Kusum spices) to mitigate export risks and diversify.
  • Strategic focus on launching new SKUs (6 ready-to-cook SKUs under Tetra Recart packaging) and increasing presence in frozen fruits and vegetable segments.
  • Exploring opportunities for copacking with large brands, targeting revenue growth from Q4 FY24 onwards.

How does Foods & Inns Ltd rank vs peers in Food Products?

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1Foods & Inns Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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