Foods & Inns
Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Food Products
fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Currently, there are no active plans for new equity fundraising; a recent planned fundraise has been deferred as the opportunity did not materialize.
- Previous equity warrants issued in December 2022 are in process, with investors partially converting them into equity; full subscription expected by June 2024.
- Future equity raising will depend on value-accretive opportunities arising in the market.
- Regarding promoter shareholding, there are plans being considered with a timeline until June next year; no dilution is expected from these promoter plans as they may be non-dilutive.
- No specific mention of new debt fundraising; existing working capital needs are supported by increased production, leading to increased working capital borrowings and finance costs, but no new debt plan announced.
- Overall, fundraising activities are opportunistic and contingent on market conditions and value propositions.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Foods & Inns plans a total CAPEX of around Rs. 40-50 crores for the current fiscal year, already funded through equity.
- For FY25, no major CAPEX planned except for spray drying capacity expansion and tomato processing plant.
- The company expects a minimum asset turnover of around 3x from the current CAPEX investments.
- A tomato concentrate plant is planned, expected to start production from October.
- The pectin manufacturing project is slightly delayed but expected to start by end of September 2023.
- Expansion in export markets (e.g., for Kusum spices) to mitigate export risks and diversify.
- Strategic focus on launching new SKUs (6 ready-to-cook SKUs under Tetra Recart packaging) and increasing presence in frozen fruits and vegetable segments.
- Exploring opportunities for copacking with large brands, targeting revenue growth from Q4 FY24 onwards.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Volume growth for the current fiscal year is expected around 15% to 20% on an annualized basis, although Q1 was impacted by unseasonal rains and the beverage industry's slower growth. (Page 13-14)
- Company remains hopeful to recover substantially in the next 8-9 months and regain the anticipated growth trajectory. (Page 14)
- Revenue growth is driven by increased production, especially a 40% higher mango pulp production than the previous season, which will be dispatched over 12-15 months. (Page 7)
- Realization per kg is expected to vary with mango varieties, some higher and some lower, balancing overall revenue. (Page 13)
- Expansion into other fruit and vegetable pulps is targeted to reduce dependency on mango pulp from 85% revenues closer to 50-60% in the coming years. (Page 6)
- New product launches like Tetra Recart and ready-to-eat categories expected to add to future revenues, with trials and commercial scaling ongoing. (Page 9)
- Asset turns for new CAPEX projects anticipated at around 3x to boost revenue growth. (Page 12)
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company expects volume growth of around 15% to 20% annually, though Q1 saw some weather-related setbacks impacting volume recovery.
- Revenue growth is anticipated through increased realizations in mango pulp, especially for varieties like Alphonso with premium pricing.
- Operating cash flow is expected to turn positive this year due to lower raw material prices compared to last year.
- The company aims for an asset turnover ratio of about 3x on new CAPEX of Rs. 40-50 crores, indicating good revenue growth potential from investments.
- Profit before tax benefits from increased volumes, operating leverage, and price pass-through models, which stabilize margins.
- Expansion into tomato processing and pectin production by late FY24 is expected to contribute to earnings growth.
- PLI (Production Linked Incentive) benefits of around Rs. 20 crores are expected by March 2024, providing additional earnings support.
- Overall, growth in earnings and profits is linked to volume expansion, product diversification, and improved operational efficiency.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The company operates with long-term contracts, typically 12 to 15 months in duration, especially during the mango season.
- Larger brand customers, including Fortune 500 companies, honor their committed orders without fallback.
- Revenue recognition depends on the timing of customer call-offs rather than order cancellations; orders are fulfilled as per contract schedules throughout the year.
- At present, the company has confirmed orders in hand, but precise volume/ revenue estimates for the full fiscal year are difficult to provide due to variability in customer call-off timing.
- Post Q2, the company expects to have better clarity on estimated annual volumes based on order execution trends.
