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G R Infraprojects LtdQ2 FY23

G R Infraprojects Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 926P/E: 10.4Market Cap: ₹9.0K CrSector: Construction

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 4

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 4
  • FY24 growth expected in the range of 5% to 10%, potentially higher than 10% with more EPC projects secured.
  • Growth for FY25 anticipated to be higher than FY24, possibly exceeding 15%, especially if more EPC orders are won.
  • Revenue growth in FY24 may be modest due to delays in project awards like Ropar; any contribution from these will be minimal.
  • Backlog expected around INR30,000 to INR35,000 crores by FY24-end, with faster execution on EPC and slower on HAM projects.
  • Order inflow guidance for FY24 is INR20,000 crores of fresh orders, not including L1s.
  • Average EBITDA margins expected to remain stable; EPC margins around 12%-13%, HAM margins 14%-16%.
  • Project execution acceleration depends on awarded projects' appointed dates, mostly expected in quarters 3 and 4 of FY24.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • FY24 growth guidance: 5% to 10% revenue growth, potentially higher than 10% if more EPC projects are secured.
  • FY25 growth outlook: Expected to exceed 15%, possibly reaching 15%-20% if the project mix favors EPC, which executes faster.
  • Margins: Standalone EBITDA margin steady around 14.5%-15%; EPC margins targeted at 12%-13%, HAM projects targeted at 14%-16%.
  • Earnings/Profits: PAT margin improved, with standalone PAT increasing by 8% QoQ in Q1 FY24.
  • EPS expected to benefit from growth in both EPC and HAM segments; higher order inflows of approx. INR20,000 crores anticipated in FY24 supporting future earnings.
  • Debt level stable with a debt-equity ratio around 0.16, supporting financial prudence and profitability.
  • Overall, the company expects steady margin profile and improving earnings driven by order backlog and EPC growth.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • For FY’24, the company plans capital expenditure (capex) in the range of INR 200 crores ± INR 50 crores.
  • Capital contribution to HAM projects is guided at INR 800-900 crores annually for the next 1-2 years.
  • Equity infusion includes ongoing investment in power transmission projects; current year’s equity infusion plan accounts for this.
  • Net debt has reduced by INR 400 crores compared to March 2023, and the company expects debt levels to remain stable through FY’24.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio on a standalone basis is currently 0.16 and is expected to remain around this level for the next 1-1.5 years.
  • Funding and non-fund based credit facilities total around INR 5,500 crores with utilization at 40-45%.
  • No explicit new debt/equity fundraising mentioned beyond ongoing equity infusion and capex plans.

Order book

  • Current order backlog is around INR30,000 to INR35,000 crores by the end of the fiscal year.
  • Executable order book is approximately INR19,000 crores, with about INR11,000 crores confirmed and INR8,900 crores pending appointed dates.
  • Order book includes INR7,250 crores of L1 projects.
  • There are 11 projects with pending appointed dates, excluding L1 projects.
  • Pipeline of bidding opportunities stands at approximately INR90,000 crores, with INR75,000 crores related to roads.
  • Target order inflow for the current year is INR20,000 crores (EPC value, excluding GST).
  • The company is focusing more on large EPC projects (ticket size above INR1,000 crores) to reduce competition.
  • Pending orders related to appointed dates are expected to contribute 5%-10% of growth, with some appointed dates expected by Q4.

Capex plans

Yes
  • FY’24 capex guidance is around INR 200 crores ± INR 50 crores (Page 15).
  • Capital contribution to HAM projects for next three years is guided at INR 800-900 crores annually, excluding any new projects secured later (Page 13-14).
  • Equity infusion of about INR 650 crores incrementally expected in FY’24, which includes ongoing power transmission project equity (around INR 1 billion) (Page 15).
  • Power transmission project equity is being infused continuously as part of the current year’s equity plan (Page 15).
  • Future equity plans may change upward if new projects under HAM or others come through (Page 15).
  • Working capital days improved from 104 to 92 days by June 2023, reflecting better capital management (Page 5).
  • Strategic diversification focusing on EPC and HAM projects to reduce competition and tap bigger projects (Page 6).

How does G R Infraprojects Ltd rank vs peers in Construction?

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1G R Infraprojects Ltd
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