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G R Infraprojects LtdQ2 FY24

G R Infraprojects Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 926P/E: 10.4Market Cap: ₹9.0K CrSector: Construction

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

No

Capex

Yes

2 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • FY '25 revenue expected to be flattish, with possible +/- 5% growth depending on EPC projects start timings.
  • FY '26 revenue growth guidance is broadly 10% to 20%, with 10%-15% mentioned specifically.
  • Growth contingent on receipt and start of new orders, especially EPC projects and appointed dates (e.g., MSRDC project).
  • From Rs. 7,000 crores of orders awaiting appointed date, approximately 30%-35% could convert to revenue in FY '26.
  • Executable order book of Rs. 8,500 crores expected to be completed by FY '26.
  • Order inflow target for FY '25 is Rs. 20,000 crores, including Rs. 5,000-7,000 crores from non-road sectors.
  • Growth depends on bidding success and timing of appointed dates; delays may reduce growth.
  • Focus on diversifying portfolio (road, railway, metro, transmission) to sustain double-digit growth over the medium term.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • **Revenue Growth:** Expected flattish revenue for FY25 with potential 5% positive growth if new EPC projects start early; targeting double-digit growth (10%-20%) in FY26 depending on project inflows and timing.
  • **EBITDA Margin:** Current quarter standalone margin at 13%, down from 14.62%; expected to remain around 12%-13% in near term; potential to return to 14%-15% range with growth resumption.
  • **Order Inflow:** Targeting Rs. 20,000 crores in orders for FY25, with Rs. 5,000-7,000 crores from non-road sectors; new Rs. 7,000 crores order book awaiting appointed dates with ~30%-35% converting to revenue in FY26.
  • **Other Income:** Expecting Rs. 300-350 crores in other income (including InvIT dividends) annually.
  • **EPS and Profit:** Profit margins slightly pressure due to delayed projects but aim to maintain steady PAT margins; growth in EPS expected with order execution in FY26 and beyond.
  • **Strategic Focus:** Diversifying into railway, transmission, ropeways, and tunneling to improve margins and growth quality.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company expects a total equity infusion of around Rs. 2,000 crores for ongoing projects, with Rs. 600 crores expected to be invested in the current year (Q1 FY25).
  • No explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity is made beyond this planned equity infusion.
  • The total standalone borrowing outstanding at the end of June 2024 stands at Rs. 840 crores, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11x.
  • Consolidated borrowing is around Rs. 4,528 crores with debt-to-equity of 0.58x.
  • No additional debt or equity fundraising plans are stated in the call for FY25; focus seems on managing existing capital and equity infusion for HAM projects.
  • Future capital expenditure is planned around Rs. 150-200 crores for office building and machinery, to be funded internally.

Order book

No
  • Current order book as of June 30, 2024: Approximately Rs. 19,075 crores, including two EPC road projects in Maharashtra with L1 status.
  • Out of this, Rs. 7,000 crores worth of seven projects are awaiting appointed dates, expected by Q2 or Q3 FY25.
  • About Rs. 4,000 crores of projects are at L1 stage but not yet started.
  • Total pending projects (awaiting appointed date + L1) roughly Rs. 11,000-11,400 crores.
  • The company is targeting total order inflow of Rs. 20,000 crores for FY25.
  • Rs. 2.6 lakh crores pipeline exists across highway, railway, metro, transmission, tunnel, hydro, multimodal logistics.
  • Of Rs. 7,000 crores awaiting appointed date projects, 30%-35% expected to convert to revenue in FY26.
  • Executable order book of Rs. 8,500 crores expected to be completed by FY26.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Q1 FY25 CAPEX done: ~Rs. 21 crores.
  • Full year FY25 CAPEX target: Not more than Rs. 150 crores.
  • Rs. 100-150 crores of this CAPEX expected to be for office building construction, possibly spread over 1-2 years.
  • Depending on construction speed, total CAPEX on the building may increase to Rs. 150-200 crores.
  • No immediate plans for CAPEX beyond existing machinery; relying on current machinery for upcoming revenue growth.
  • Equity infusion expected: Rs. 600 crores in current year towards ongoing HAM projects; total equity needed around Rs. 2,000 crores.
  • No fixed bidding strategy yet for projects, but targeted order inflow around Rs. 20,000 crores expected, including both road and non-road projects.
  • Strategic diversification into other sectors underway, with cautious initial bidding to understand new sector dynamics.

How does G R Infraprojects Ltd rank vs peers in Construction?

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