G R Infraprojects Ltd
Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Construction
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- For FY’24, the company plans capital expenditure (capex) in the range of INR 200 crores ± INR 50 crores.
- Capital contribution to HAM projects is guided at INR 800-900 crores annually for the next 1-2 years.
- Equity infusion includes ongoing investment in power transmission projects; current year’s equity infusion plan accounts for this.
- Net debt has reduced by INR 400 crores compared to March 2023, and the company expects debt levels to remain stable through FY’24.
- Debt-to-equity ratio on a standalone basis is currently 0.16 and is expected to remain around this level for the next 1-1.5 years.
- Funding and non-fund based credit facilities total around INR 5,500 crores with utilization at 40-45%.
- No explicit new debt/equity fundraising mentioned beyond ongoing equity infusion and capex plans.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- FY’24 capex guidance is around INR 200 crores ± INR 50 crores (Page 15).
- Capital contribution to HAM projects for next three years is guided at INR 800-900 crores annually, excluding any new projects secured later (Page 13-14).
- Equity infusion of about INR 650 crores incrementally expected in FY’24, which includes ongoing power transmission project equity (around INR 1 billion) (Page 15).
- Power transmission project equity is being infused continuously as part of the current year’s equity plan (Page 15).
- Future equity plans may change upward if new projects under HAM or others come through (Page 15).
- Working capital days improved from 104 to 92 days by June 2023, reflecting better capital management (Page 5).
- Strategic diversification focusing on EPC and HAM projects to reduce competition and tap bigger projects (Page 6).
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- FY24 growth expected in the range of 5% to 10%, potentially higher than 10% with more EPC projects secured.
- Growth for FY25 anticipated to be higher than FY24, possibly exceeding 15%, especially if more EPC orders are won.
- Revenue growth in FY24 may be modest due to delays in project awards like Ropar; any contribution from these will be minimal.
- Backlog expected around INR30,000 to INR35,000 crores by FY24-end, with faster execution on EPC and slower on HAM projects.
- Order inflow guidance for FY24 is INR20,000 crores of fresh orders, not including L1s.
- Average EBITDA margins expected to remain stable; EPC margins around 12%-13%, HAM margins 14%-16%.
- Project execution acceleration depends on awarded projects' appointed dates, mostly expected in quarters 3 and 4 of FY24.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- FY24 growth guidance: 5% to 10% revenue growth, potentially higher than 10% if more EPC projects are secured.
- FY25 growth outlook: Expected to exceed 15%, possibly reaching 15%-20% if the project mix favors EPC, which executes faster.
- Margins: Standalone EBITDA margin steady around 14.5%-15%; EPC margins targeted at 12%-13%, HAM projects targeted at 14%-16%.
- Earnings/Profits: PAT margin improved, with standalone PAT increasing by 8% QoQ in Q1 FY24.
- EPS expected to benefit from growth in both EPC and HAM segments; higher order inflows of approx. INR20,000 crores anticipated in FY24 supporting future earnings.
- Debt level stable with a debt-equity ratio around 0.16, supporting financial prudence and profitability.
- Overall, the company expects steady margin profile and improving earnings driven by order backlog and EPC growth.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current order backlog is around INR30,000 to INR35,000 crores by the end of the fiscal year.
- Executable order book is approximately INR19,000 crores, with about INR11,000 crores confirmed and INR8,900 crores pending appointed dates.
- Order book includes INR7,250 crores of L1 projects.
- There are 11 projects with pending appointed dates, excluding L1 projects.
- Pipeline of bidding opportunities stands at approximately INR90,000 crores, with INR75,000 crores related to roads.
- Target order inflow for the current year is INR20,000 crores (EPC value, excluding GST).
- The company is focusing more on large EPC projects (ticket size above INR1,000 crores) to reduce competition.
- Pending orders related to appointed dates are expected to contribute 5%-10% of growth, with some appointed dates expected by Q4.
