G R Infraprojects Ltd
Q4 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Construction
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: No
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Equity infusion: The company mentioned an equity requirement of around ₹2,100 crores for operational and under-construction HAM and power transmission projects to be infused over the next 2.5 years, with ₹150-200 crores expected in the remainder of fiscal 2024. Annual equity investment is expected to be in the range of ₹700-750 crores.
- Fundraising for projects: Equity contributions of ₹450 crores have already been invested in the first nine months of the current year.
- Debt levels: Standalone borrowing as of December 2023 stands at around ₹900 crores with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16x; consolidated borrowings are about ₹6,988 crores with 1.1x debt-to-equity.
- Asset monetization: The company’s InvIT (Infrastructure Investment Trust) filing with SEBI is on track with an expected launch by end of February or early March 2024 to monetize BOT toll/HAM assets, which will aid fundraising and capital recycling.
- No explicit new debt fundraising announced currently, focus appears on equity infusion and InvIT monetization.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- For FY24, the company expects CAPEX not to exceed ₹100 crores, with around ₹80 crores already spent in the first nine months.
- Major ongoing CAPEX is for an office building construction in Gurgaon, accounting for about ₹50 crores of this investment.
- For FY25, overall CAPEX commitment is estimated around ₹125 crores, including ₹50-75 crores for plant and machinery.
- Equity infusion planned is around ₹700-750 crores annually for the next few years to support ongoing and new projects.
- Approximately ₹2,100 crores equity is required for the current portfolio over the next 2.5 years, with ₹150-200 crores expected to be infused during FY24.
- The company is actively evaluating strategic investments and diversification into EPC sectors like waterways, building construction, transmission, and railway projects; a conclusive plan is expected within 3-4 months.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- FY25 revenue expected to be flattish or decline by 0% to 5%, impacted by delays in appointed dates for projects.
- For FY26, the company targets revenue of ₹15,000 crores with an expected 15% to 25% growth over FY25.
- Order book for FY26 includes an anticipated additional ₹5,000 crores in the current financial year helping drive growth.
- Q4 revenue for FY24 expected to show 10% year-on-year growth, possibly reaching around ₹2,200 crores for the quarter.
- The company sees strong bidding pipeline of ~₹2 lakh crores across EPC, HAM, and BOT projects for future years.
- Entry into new EPC sectors like waterways and building construction could potentially match current highway revenues within 3 years, supporting diversified growth.
- Overall, the company is optimistic about resuming revenue growth post FY25 with doubledigit growth expected in FY26.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- FY26 revenue target is ₹15,000 crores with 15%-25% growth expected over FY25, driven by order book expansion (Ajendra Agarwal).
- FY25 revenue expected to be flat or decline by up to 5%, with margin guidance around 13%-13.5%.
- Q4 FY24 anticipates revenue growth of about 10% year-on-year, with a margin target of approximately 14%.
- Margin normalization to 14%-15% expected as more HAM projects move into execution.
- Equity investment planned around ₹700-750 crores annually through FY25-27 for order book growth.
- Diversification into building EPC, waterways, and transmission sectors is under evaluation, aiming to supplement highway revenue in 3 years.
- BOT toll projects expected to form a significant portion (50%-60%) of the ₹15,000 crores order book, enhancing profitability potential.
- Asset monetization via InvIT launch expected soon, supporting capital for growth and potential margin stability.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Order book at the end of December 2023 is around ₹18,680 crores (excluding two L1 projects worth ₹573 crores).
- Pending orders with appointed dates (AD) not yet declared total approximately ₹9,200 crores.
- Expecting appointed dates to be declared for about ₹4,000 crores worth of projects within the current financial year.
- Projected order inflow target for FY25 is around ₹15,000 crores.
- Expecting another ₹4,000-5,000 crores order inflow in the current financial year from ongoing bidding.
- A strong bid pipeline of about ₹2 lakh crores of road projects, including EPC, HAM, and BOT, is visible.
- BOT projects form a significant share, with targeted BOT order inflows around ₹7,500 crores out of the ₹15,000 crores guidance.
- Equity investment requirement for ongoing and upcoming projects is approximately ₹2,100 crores over 2.5 years.
