GAIL (India) LtdQ3 FY22

GAIL (India) Ltd Q3 FY22 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹167.91P/E: 11.2Market Cap: ₹1.1L CrSector: Gas

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

N/A

Margin

N/A

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

N/A

0 of 0 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

  • Gas marketing volume is expected to increase by 5 to 6 MMSCMD next year, averaging around 4 MMSCMD growth annually over the next 2 to 3 years. (Page 3, 15)
  • Natural gas transmission volume is expected to grow at 5% to 6% per annum over the next couple of years, driven mainly by increased supply to CGD and upcoming fertilizer plants linked to JHBDPL pipeline. (Page 3, 15)
  • GAIL Gas sales volume is expected to grow approximately 10% per annum over the next 3 years. (Page 4)
  • GAIL Gas plans significant expansion with CapEx around Rs. 4,000 crores over 3 years to expand networks in existing cities, which supports volume growth. (Page 4)
  • GAIL targets to add over 100 new CNG stations and 2,50,000 new DPNG connections in the next 2 years, with sales expected to double in the same period. (Page 4)
  • Polymer production operated above capacity at 114% in Q3 and expected to maintain 100% capacity utilization for the year. (Page 3)

See what GAIL (India) Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

  • GAIL is deliberating on fundraising options for two pipelines (DUPL and DPPL) through an InvIT proposal sent to the ministry.
  • A transaction advisor has been appointed to identify the best financing mode.
  • Being almost debt-free, GAIL can source debt at a favorable rate of around 5% to 5.5%, which is currently cheaper than other options.
  • Another option under consideration is debt securitization, though it is slightly costlier than current borrowing rates.
  • The company is still analyzing and discussing these options; no concrete decision on the mode of fundraising has been finalized yet.

See what GAIL (India) Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

  • Pradhan Mantri Urja Ganga project: Total commitment over Rs. 15,530 crores; CapEx up to Q3 FY22 is Rs. 12,815 crores; ongoing capital grant of Rs. 4,549 crores received against Rs. 5,176 crores total.
  • Pipeline projects: GAIL and JVs executing ~7,500 km pipelines with a total cost of ~Rs. 37,000 crores.
  • PP projects at Pata and Usar: Total cost Rs. 10,000 crores; EPMC contract and license selection completed; work progressing on schedule.
  • GAIL Gas: Plans CapEx of around Rs. 4,000 crores over next 3 years to expand network in existing cities and new areas.
  • Equity stake acquisition: GAIL acquired 26% stake in ONGC Tripura Power Company for Rs. 319 crores.
  • Further CapEx planned: Rs. 7,500 crores in current financial year focused on pipelines, petrochemicals, CGD, and equity investments.

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