Gayatri Projects Ltd
Q1 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis
Construction
fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
- Focus is on reducing existing long-term debt from around ₹500 crores to zero in the next two years.
- Working capital debt (~₹1400-1850 crores) is expected to continue.
- Interest costs have been reduced via negotiations, aiming to reduce overall interest expense from ₹320 crores to around ₹250-275 crores.
- Company is focused on improving liquidity and balance sheet through asset monetization, claim recoveries, and operational cash flows.
- No plans to enter new investments or HAM projects; emphasis on maintaining a strong balance sheet and avoiding additional capital allocation risks.
- Hence, the current strategy revolves around debt reduction and liquidity improvement, with no announced plans for fresh fundraising via debt or equity.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- The company has stopped making new investments since 2015-16, focusing primarily on improving the balance sheet and returning money.
- There are no plans to invest in HAM (Hybrid Annuity Model) projects as management believes they offer lower long-term returns.
- They recently sold a majority stake in HKR Roadways to Kotak, which is funding project completion; about ₹200 crores of capex is still needed for the Hyderabad Karimnagar Road project.
- The Hyderabad Karimnagar Road project capex of ₹200 crores is expected to complete within 1.5 years.
- Future growth will focus on value-added construction projects rather than new investments.
- No new investment projects are planned, and the strategy is to monetize existing assets and resolve claims to improve the balance sheet.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- FY22 revenue expected to be flat due to COVID-related disruptions in Q1 and Q2, with recovery anticipated later in the year.
- Jal Jeevan Mission projects to contribute significantly, with around 30% of FY22 revenue expected from UP Jal Jeevan Mission alone (~800 crores under execution) and plans to add 3000-4000 crores over next two years.
- FY23 projected to see 15-20% revenue growth driven by expanded water projects and new project wins.
- Order inflow expected to be around 3000-4000 crores, with most new tenders anticipated in Q3 and Q4.
- Company is focusing on higher-margin water projects and urban infrastructure, reducing dependence on lower-margin road projects.
- Industrial projects expected to emerge as a growth area by 2025 with expected capex cycles.
- Overall, strong order book of 13,000 crores provides good revenue visibility for the near term.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- FY22 revenue expected to remain flat due to COVID impact, with EBITDA margin guidance of 13-14%.
- First quarter margins anticipated lower due to pandemic-related overheads; improvement expected in later quarters.
- FY23 revenue growth projected at around 15%, driven by increased order inflow and new projects.
- Diversification into higher-margin water projects (Jal Jeevan Mission), industrial projects, and urban infrastructure to improve profitability.
- Approximately 20-30% of FY22 revenue expected from UP Jal Jeevan Mission, with an estimated order book opportunity of ₹3000-4000 crores over next two years.
- Debt reduction efforts ongoing, with term debt aimed to be zeroed in next two years, reducing interest costs and improving net profits.
- Resolution of arbitration claims and asset monetization planned to strengthen balance sheet and support earnings growth.
- Focus on value-added construction projects to enhance margins, avoiding lower-return projects like HAM.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current order book stands at approximately ₹13,000 crores, providing revenue visibility for the next 6 to 8 months.
- Upcoming order inflows expected around ₹3,000 to ₹4,000 crores, primarily from the third quarter onwards as COVID-related delays ease.
- No significant tenders or orders are expected in the first two quarters; major tendering activity anticipated post-September-October.
- Strong project pipeline maintained, including Jal Jeevan Mission projects with an estimated ₹3,000 to ₹4,000 crores opportunity over the next two years.
- Water projects under execution currently stand at ₹800 crores with studies and DPR finalization underway for additional 1800 villages.
- Future focus on diversification including irrigation, road projects, industrial projects, and urban infrastructure.
- NHAI projects temporarily impacted due to a rectification notice; participation in new NHAI tenders expected after 2-3 months post-rectification.
