Gayatri Projects Ltd

Q2 FY20 Earnings Call Analysis

Construction

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Nocapex: Norevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No indication of current or planned equity fundraising; the promoters currently hold a significant 45% stake and are focusing on shareholder value rather than increasing promoter holding. - The company is comfortable with its current working capital and bank guarantee limits (~₹4400-4500 crores), which are revolving and allow rebidding on projects. - The company is undergoing debt restructuring with banks, including signing an inter-creditor agreement (ICA) to reduce interest rates. - They have availed moratoriums under RBI relief but are now up to date and expect to service loans comfortably. - The management aims to reduce long-term debt over the next 12-18 months via cash flows and claims monetization, targeting a debt-free status in 2-3 years. - No aggressive bidding is planned to increase order book with debt; they are maintaining disciplined bidding aligned with current financial strength.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- The company is primarily focusing on being a pure EPC business, particularly in road and water projects. - There is an emphasis on irrigation and water supply projects, with recent wins like a 1.4 billion rupees irrigation water supply project. - No specific mention of new or large-scale capex/capital investments or strategic investments in the transcript. - The management is concentrating on executing current order book projects and maintaining sustainable bidding to keep margins intact. - Debt reduction and balance sheet strengthening are key strategic priorities rather than new capital investments. - Expectation to monetize existing assets (like power assets) to reduce debt, rather than investing fresh capital. - Focus is on growth through bidding in EPC projects, maintaining order inflows of INR 30-40 billion, and expanding within existing business segments rather than new capital expenditures.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Gayatri Projects Ltd aims to grow its topline by 15-20% over the next two to three years. - The company plans to maintain an order inflow target of Rs. 30-40 billion annually. - With a strong EPC order book of approximately Rs. 12,000-13,000 crore, the company has visibility for the next 2-3 years. - Execution and revenue for FY21 are expected to be similar to FY20, with significant execution pick-up anticipated from H2 FY21 onwards. - The focus remains primarily on EPC road projects and expanding water segment projects, including irrigation and water supply, which are seeing gradual uptick. - The order book's diversification geographically, with about 30% exposure to UP and Maharashtra, provides a stable growth foundation.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Gayatri Projects Ltd expects to maintain FY21 revenue at similar levels to FY20 despite Covid-related challenges. - The company aims for EBITDA margins of at least 14-15%. - Plans to achieve 15-20% topline growth over the next 2-3 years by winning new orders and maintaining a strong order book of ₹12,000-13,000 crores. - Order inflow target for FY21 is ₹30-40 billion, focusing mainly on EPC road and water projects. - Execution levels expected to return to pre-Covid normalcy by October 2020, boosting operating earnings. - Strong EBITDA to free cash flow conversion and claims monetization expected to generate ₹400-600 crores cash over 8-12 months aimed at debt reduction. - De-leveraging and balance sheet strengthening are strategic priorities, with a goal to be debt-free in the next 12-18 months. - Overall, steady margin maintenance and controlled bidding strategy positioned for measured profit growth.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Gayatri Projects Ltd has a pure play EPC order book of approximately ₹12,600 crores (126+ billion INR). - The order book provides a book-to-bill ratio of about 4 times, offering high growth visibility over the next three years. - Geographically diversified, with about 30% exposure in Uttar Pradesh (UP) and Maharashtra. - Road EPC segment constitutes over 60% of the order book. - The company aims for order inflow of ₹3,000-4,000 crores (30-40 billion INR) in FY21. - Currently participating in bidding for EPC road projects worth about ₹22,000 crores. - Over the next 2-3 months, bidding opportunities (NHIDCL, MORTH, NHAI) exceed ₹20,000-30,000 crores. - Has a comfortable working capital position with bank guarantee limits of ₹4,400-4,500 crores to rebid for new projects.