Gayatri Projects Ltd

Q4 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis

Construction

Full Stock Analysis
margin: Category 3orderbook: No informationfundraise: Yescapex: Norevenue: Category 2
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No explicit mention of any current or immediate new fundraising through debt or equity during the call. - The company has focused on deleveraging by repaying long-term debt using proceeds from stake sale and arbitration award monetization. - FY21 guidance indicates no significant CapEx planned, implying limited need for fresh funding unless new projects are won. - They are actively working on monetizing arbitration awards and claims to reduce long-term debt to zero rather than raising fresh debt. - Promoter pledged shares largely support current company loans, with no mention of new debt from promoters. - Order book additions are expected to be around β‚Ή4,000-5,000 crore in FY21, financed through existing limits and cash flow. - Bank guarantees utilization is already high (~90% of non-fund based limits), which may restrict fresh non-fund based borrowings in the near term.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- CapEx incurred in 9 months FY20: approximately β‚Ή59 crores. - Guidance for FY21 CapEx: minimal at present since no new projects have been won yet. - Future CapEx plans depend on winning new projects; once new projects are secured, additional CapEx will be considered. - Currently, as of the call, no new significant CapEx or strategic investments have been planned or incurred for FY21.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- FY21 revenue guidance is around INR 4000 crores (Page 3). - The company targets an order inflow of INR 4000 to 5000 crores in FY21 to support 20-30% top-line growth (Page 12). - Bids worth INR 4000-5000 crores already submitted for road projects; another INR 4000-5000 crores expected before March (Page 12). - Order book stands at INR 14,000 crores, with a book-to-bill ratio of 3.8, providing revenue visibility over next 2-3 years (Page 3). - Execution has improved post-monsoon with projects like Lucknow Purvanchal Expressway and Nagpur-Mumbai progressing well (Page 4). - Irrigation projects in Telangana and Andhra Pradesh have started gaining momentum after prior delays due to fund crunch (Page 4).
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- For FY21, Gayatri Projects Ltd is targeting revenues of around INR 4000 crores. - The company has an EPC order book of INR 14,000 crores, providing 2-3 years of revenue visibility. - Revenue growth for the nine-month period was 9%, but EBITDA growth was limited to around 2%, mainly due to provisioning for credit losses. - PAT was impacted by exceptional loss on investment diminution in Sembcorp stake. - Execution is expected to improve from Q4 FY20 onwards, especially in irrigation projects in Telangana and Andhra Pradesh, which were previously stalled. - The company expects to monetize arbitration awards and claims worth INR 1900 crores, which will reduce long-term debt and improve financial health. - Economic interest from power stake sale in Sembcorp could provide upside in the future monetization events. - Overall, the company is focused on deleveraging and improving cash flows to support future growth.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- As of the 3QFY20 earnings call, Gayatri Projects' EPC order book stands at INR 141 billion (INR 14,100 crores), translating into a book-to-bill ratio of 3.8. - For FY20, the company aimed to add inflows of approximately INR 2,000 crores in orders. - For FY21, the target order inflow is between INR 4,000 to 5,000 crores, consistent with historical trends. - The company has submitted tenders worth INR 4,000 to 5,000 crores as of February 2020 and expects to submit an additional INR 4,000 to 5,000 crores before March 2020. - The company’s strategy is to bid for orders that enable a top-line growth of 20-30%.