Goodluck India LtdQ3 FY25
Goodluck India Ltd Q3 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹1,405P/E: 24.8Market Cap: ₹4.2K CrSector: Industrial Products
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 1
Fundraise
Yes
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
4 of 5 growth signals are positive — a strong management growth story.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →Goodluck India Limited targets a long-term revenue growth of 15% - 20% year-on-year.
- →For FY ‘26 and FY ‘27, the company expects to maintain this 15% to 20% growth trajectory.
- →Sales volume increased by 9.5% in Q2 FY2026 compared to the previous year.
- →The artillery shell business aims to ramp up capacity from 1.5 lakh to 4 lakh shells by FY ‘28.
- →At peak capacity, the shell business is expected to generate Rs. 800 crores revenue by FY ‘28.
- →Missile and aerospace business anticipates peak revenues of Rs. 200 crores.
- →The green energy segment (solar support structures) is projected to contribute Rs. 500-600 crores revenue by FY ‘27.
- →Defence business revenue will increase significantly and is expected to boost overall EBITDA margins.
- →Current capacity expansions and new product lines contribute to optimistic future volume and revenue growth.
Margin guidance
Category 1- →The company targets a long-term revenue growth of 15% to 20% annually, inclusive of defence revenue (Pages 14-15, 20).
- →Defence business EBITDA margin expected to be in the range of 30%-35%, potentially leading to a significant bump in overall EBITDA margin by 300-400 bps over three years (Pages 16-17).
- →Defence business ROCE expected around 20%-25% plus (Page 17).
- →Earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 FY 2026 stood at Rs. 11.95; H1 FY 2026 EPS was Rs. 24.57 per share (Page 7).
- →Management confident about achieving 15% growth for FY 2026 despite short-term volatility (Pages 14-15).
- →Increase in defence revenue contribution expected to drive higher margins and profit growth moving forward (Pages 14-17).
- →Capacity expansions in artillery shells and aerospace/missile parts to ramp up revenue significantly by FY 2028 (Pages 14-15, 19-21).
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Fundraise plans
Yes- →Goodluck India Limited currently has around Rs. 160 crores of debt.
- →The company plans to raise an additional Rs. 50 crores to Rs. 100 crores of debt for expansion purposes.
- →The total comfortable long-term debt level is expected to be between Rs. 300 crores to Rs. 350 crores.
- →The Rs. 500 crore expansion plan will be funded through a mix of equity and debt.
- →The exact proportion of loan and equity for this expansion will be communicated in upcoming quarters.
- →There is no specific mention of immediate equity fundraising, but an IPO is planned for the defence and aerospace subsidiary at an appropriate future time.
Order book
Yes- →The artillery shell division started commercial production in October 2025.
- →There is no traditional order book for the defence shell product because demand outstrips supply.
- →The company has visibility of demand and supply for the next 2-3 years.
- →Existing orders, both domestic and international, are sufficient to support current and planned capacity expansions.
- →The artillery shells capacity is planned to increase from 1.5 lakh to 4 lakh shells per annum.
- →No specific value of pending orders or order backlog was disclosed due to strategic reasons.
- →International customers have audited facilities and have received supplied samples.
- →Demand is strong globally as artillery shells remain a scarce product.
Capex plans
Yes- →Goodluck India is undertaking a significant CAPEX of Rs. 400-500 crores to expand defence shell production capacity from 1.5 lakh to 4 lakh shells per annum within the next year.
- →This investment also includes setting up ring rolling and press facilities for manufacturing missile outer parts and aerospace components.
- →The CAPEX will be funded through a mix of debt and equity, with peak long-term debt comfortable at Rs. 300-350 crores, including an additional borrowing of Rs. 50-100 crores for expansion.
- →The Hydraulic Tube segment, commissioned in January 2025, plans capacity augmentation by adding 50,000 MT per annum once it reaches ~80% utilization.
- →Strategic partnership in the Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft (AMCA) program via Goodluck Defence and Aerospace subsidiary, with an Expression of Interest filed.
- →Overall, the company is focused on building capability in defence, aerospace, and green energy sectors to capitalize on growing demand.
How does Goodluck India Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Products?
Pro feature1Goodluck India Ltd
Rev 3Mar 1
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