Gravita India Ltd
Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Minerals & Mining
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The company mentioned an order book of around Rs. 25 crore to Rs. 30 crore in the projects vertical.
- These projects typically deliver around a 40% gross margin.
- Some projects were sold outside this year, contributing about Rs. 9 crore in earnings in this vertical.
- The company expects similar numbers from the projects department going forward based on the current order book.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Gravita has signed a €34 million ESG loan from a European Development Financial Institution, expected to be drawn in the next 1-2 months.
- This loan is partly for fresh CAPEX (~€4-5 million) and mostly to replace overseas working capital, reducing reliance on Indian funds.
- The existing borrowing cost is around 8.5%, which will reduce to about 6.5% with this new debt facility, saving around 2%.
- For the planned CAPEX of Rs. 600-650 crore over the next 3-4 years, funding will be mainly through internal accruals.
- However, Gravita plans to take additional debt of Rs. 200-300 crore in the next 2-3 years, keeping leverage comfortable with a maximum Debt/EBITDA ratio of 1.2.
- Beyond this leverage, equity issuance will be considered to fund growth.
- There is flexibility to raise equity or debt as appropriate for capital allocation and potential M&A.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Gravita plans a CAPEX of over Rs. 600 crore by FY'26 for existing and new verticals.
- Rs. 250 crore of this is allocated to new verticals including steel, paper, and lithium-ion recycling.
- Rs. 350 crore CAPEX for existing verticals (lead, aluminum, plastic, rubber) with ~40% overseas and 60% India-centric expenditure; new vertical CAPEX ~80-90% outside India.
- Rubber recycling capacity is expanding, with new plants planned in multiple locations, including Ghana.
- New verticals like paper and steel recycling expected to stabilize results in 1.5 to 2 years.
- A €34 million ESG loan facility from European Development Financial Institutions was approved to fund overseas CAPEX and working capital, reducing borrowing cost from ~8.5% to 6.5%.
- CAPEX is majorly funded through internal accruals with some debt planned (Rs. 200-300 crore).
- Company is open to mergers and acquisitions for further growth opportunities.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Gravita India Limited targets a **25% year-on-year volume growth** for the next 3 to 4 years, with some quarterly fluctuations due to strategic volume adjustments for higher margins.
- The company aims for a **35% annual growth in EBITDA and PAT**, focusing more on bottom-line growth and return on capital rather than just volume.
- Sales volume CAGR is targeted at **35% by Financial Year 2027**.
- Capacity expansion plans aim to increase total capacity to **approximately 425,000+ metric tons per annum by FY'26** (from 251,000 in FY'23).
- New verticals like rubber, paper, and steel recycling are expected to contribute to growth, with new plants being set up in Africa and India.
- Forecast includes maintaining an **11%-12% tax rate** and generating **8x to 9x revenue returns** on CAPEX invested yearly.
These growth plans indicate robust volume, revenue, and profitability expansion over the medium term.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Gravita expects revenue volume growth of around 25% year-on-year for the next 3-4 years.
- EBITDA growth is targeted at approximately 35% annually, emphasizing profitability alongside volume growth.
- PAT CAGR over the past five years was 35%, with optimistic continuation toward 2027.
- EBITDA per ton varies by product, with lead around Rs. 16-17/kg, aluminum Rs. 18-19/kg, and plastic approx Rs. 10/kg, with an overall improvement expected due to scale and product mix changes.
- Return on capital is a key focus, targeting a minimum of 25% ROC going forward.
- The company plans Rs. 600 crore CAPEX over four years, including new verticals like steel, paper, and lithium ion recycling, aimed to drive faster growth.
- Overseas business will be financially self-dependent, supported by a new €34 million ESG loan facility.
- Overall outlook is confident, expecting sustained strong earnings growth and operational profitability through FY'27.
