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Greenply Industries LtdQ2 FY23

Greenply Industries Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 292P/E: 31.8Market Cap: ₹3.2K CrSector: Consumer Durables

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

No

Capex

Yes

1 of 4 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • MDF business targets producing and selling 1 lakh CBM in FY24, aiming for 120,000 CBM annualized run rate and 160,000-180,000 CBM next year.
  • Full capacity utilization in MDF anticipated by the third year.
  • MDF sales revenue forecasted between INR 275 to 300 crores for FY24.
  • Aiming for EBITDA breakeven in MDF by Q2 FY24.
  • Plywood business targets 10% volume growth for the full year.
  • Planning price hikes in plywood expected to benefit margins in H2 FY24, aiming to return to double-digit EBITDA margins.
  • Expansion in MDF distribution aiming to grow from 250 to 800-900 direct dealers/distributors.
  • Moderate regular capex planned in plywood and MDF to support growth; new 50:50 JV in hardware with INR 30-40 crores investment over 2-2.5 years also targeted.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Greenply aims for 10% volume growth in plywood sales for the full year, expecting a bounce back from Q2 onwards after a muted Q1.
  • MDF business targets to produce and sell 100,000 CBM in FY24, with volumes expected to rise to 160,000–180,000 CBM by next year.
  • MDF EBITDA breakeven is expected by Q2 FY24, with sales revenue guidance of INR 275–300 crores.
  • Consolidated depreciation will normalize to INR 62–63 crores annually, reflecting full production ramp-up.
  • The company plans regular capex for plywood and MDF plus a new hardware JV with INR 30–40 crores equity over 2–2.5 years.
  • Anticipated margin improvement by price hikes and operating leverage could return plywood EBITDA margin to double digits for the year.
  • Demand environment remains subdued but management is optimistic about market recovery lifting earnings.

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no specific mention of any imminent new fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
  • The company has indicated ongoing regular capex for plywood and MDF businesses and a planned 50-50 JV venture in hardware with an estimated equity investment of INR 30-40 crores over 2 to 2.5 years.
  • Debt repayment schedule is shared with no major repayments this year; repayments are INR 41-42 crores in the current year, INR 56 crores next year, and INR 64 crores the following year.
  • The company is currently managing elevated consolidated debt levels due to MDF investment and working capital needs but expects them to reduce as MDF generates positive cash flows.
  • No explicit plans to raise fresh equity or debt capital mentioned in the discussion.

Order book

No
Based on the transcript from page 15 of the document: - The company currently has more than 250 active dealers/distributors/wholesalers who have done two or more transactions. - There is a target to increase the number of direct dealers/distributors to about 800 to 900 by the end of the year. - No specific details or figures regarding the current or expected order book or pending orders are explicitly mentioned in the provided excerpt. - The management emphasizes ramping up sales and production, especially for MDF, with a focus on reaching 1 lakh CBM production and sales. - Challenges in some plants, like Bareilly, affected capacity and hence order fulfillment, but steps are being taken to improve. - Market demand has been subdued with liquidity issues affecting trade partners but optimism remains for market rebound.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Greenply has completed its MDF capex with the commissioning of current capacities.
  • They have declared a 50-50 joint venture in the hardware business with expected equity investment of around INR 30-40 crores over 2 to 2.5 years.
  • Regular capex will continue for both plywood and MDF businesses to support ongoing operations.
  • The company plans to ramp up MDF capacity progressively, targeting around 1 lakh CBM this year, with higher volumes next year and full capacity utilization by the third year.
  • No major new capacity investments have been disclosed beyond the hardware JV and regular capex for current businesses as of now.
  • Future capex and growth avenues will be clearer in about a year’s time according to management.

How does Greenply Industries Ltd rank vs peers in Consumer Durables?

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1Greenply Industries Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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