Happy Forgings LtdQ3 FY24

Happy Forgings Ltd Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹1,748.2P/E: 50.4Market Cap: ₹16.5K CrSector: Industrial Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • The company expects a 15%-20% revenue growth over the medium term, aligned with historic performance.
  • Growth is driven by increased utilization of existing facilities and capacity additions from ongoing capex.
  • New domestic and international customers are being added, with exports expected to grow significantly (targeting 30%-35% export share in 3-4 years).
  • Passenger vehicle (PV) segment, especially SUVs, is a new area expected to contribute around 4%-6% to revenue in the next financial year, with meaningful growth planned in 1.5 to 2-3 years.
  • Industrial segment, particularly wind turbines and large industrial engines, shows sharp growth backed by enhanced forging capabilities.
  • Company plans new press lines adding 10,000 to 20,000 tons annual forging capacity by FY26, supporting volume growth.
  • Despite current CV and farm equipment slowdowns, new product developments and wallet share expansions are expected to sustain growth.

See what Happy Forgings Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

  • The company raised primarily INR 400 crores through IPO in December 2023.
  • Out of the raised money, INR 153 crores was used for repayment of certain borrowings, reducing debt to INR 139 crores as of quarter end.
  • Capex plans for FY24-25 require around INR 171 crores for equipment and machinery, with most funds currently kept in fixed deposits.
  • No mention of any immediate or planned new fundraising through debt or equity beyond the recent IPO.
  • The company has adequate cash and low debt, positioning it well to consider inorganic opportunities if required.
  • Any future fundraising, if contemplated, will be communicated by the company in due course.

See what Happy Forgings Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Happy Forging plans capex of around INR200 crores annualized basis for FY24-25, focusing on forging and machining capacity additions.
  • A newly formed subsidiary, HFL Tech Private Limited, will invest INR100 crores in manufacturing auto components, mainly machining; this is part of organic growth.
  • Equipment purchase includes a 6,300-ton press expected to arrive by May-June 2024 (delayed due to Red Sea crisis), adding 10,000 tons annual forging capacity.
  • Another press line of similar capacity (10,000 tons/annual) expected by FY26, targeting 20,000 tons annual capacity to scale production.
  • Existing 14,000-ton press line utilization to ramp from 40% to 75-80% in the next 15-18 months, enhancing industrial segment output.
  • Company is evaluating inorganic growth opportunities, considering available cash and low debt but has no specific acquisition plans announced yet.

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How does Happy Forgings Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Products?

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Rev 3Mar 3

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