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HPL Electric & Power LtdQ2 FY23

HPL Electric & Power Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 380P/E: 22.1Market Cap: ₹2.2K CrSector: Industrial Manufacturing

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

No

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • Metering segment expected to grow significantly, with revenue potentially rising from INR 850 crores to INR 1,100-1,200 crores in next two years.
  • Overall sales could reach INR 1,800-2,000 crores across all product areas without major capex.
  • Smart meters to dominate metering revenue by 2026, possibly contributing nearly 100% of the metering segment.
  • Metering expected to contribute around 55%-60% of overall company revenue in next 2-3 years.
  • Consumer & Industrial segment to grow steadily with double-digit growth despite lighting price erosion.
  • Wire & Cable and Switchgear segments also projected to grow driven by infrastructure spending and market demand.
  • Revenue growth of about 40% targeted in the metering segment for the current year.
  • Order book currently stands around INR 2,100 crores, mostly smart meter orders, with execution expected over 2-2.5 years.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • HPL anticipates a significant growth in revenue, particularly in the metering segment, expecting a 40% jump in metering revenue to about INR 850 crores in FY24 from INR 600 crores last year.
  • The Consumer & Industrial segment is expected to exhibit steady double-digit growth despite pricing pressures in some areas like Lighting.
  • Operating margins are stable due to cost reductions despite value erosion in certain segments.
  • The company aims to improve ROCE to double digits by the end of the current year, targeting around 15% over the next three years.
  • Smart meters are projected to dominate future revenues, potentially contributing around 60% of total revenue within 2-3 years.
  • Expansion in existing capacity and automation is expected to enhance productivity without requiring significant capex in the immediate 1–2 years.
  • Overall, HPL foresees a positive earnings trajectory supported by increased order book and market demand.

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Fundraise plans

  • No immediate plans for additional debt repayment; current short-term borrowings remain as is.
  • Growth in smart meter orders may cause short-term borrowings to increase temporarily to manage working capital, especially before the supply cycle kicks in, likely leveling out by Q4.
  • No additional funds required for general growth or capex; expansion and improvements will be funded through internal resources.
  • The company successfully grew revenue by 25% last year with zero additional borrowings; expects continued growth without additional borrowing in regular businesses.
  • Focus remains on supplying smart meters mostly against bank LCs, improving working capital cycle as smart meter share increases.
  • No mention of any equity fundraising in the provided text.

Order book

Yes
  • As of July 4, 2023, the current order book stands at approximately INR 2,100 crores.
  • About 82% of the order book is for meters, with over 75% of those being smart meters.
  • Recent orders include a INR 417 crores order from West Bengal State Electricity Board under the AMISP scheme, already included in the order book.
  • The order book is expected to double in the near future given ongoing large order inflows.
  • Smart meter orders generally have a supply timeline of around 2 to 2.5 years.
  • Revenues from new AMISP orders usually begin 6 to 9 months after the order is received due to preparatory activities.
  • Overall, strong growth in orders is anticipated for FY '24 and beyond, driven largely by smart meter rollouts under the RDSS scheme and other grid modernization programs.

Capex plans

No
  • No immediate major capex is planned across product divisions, including metering, switchgear, wire & cable (Page 16).
  • Capacity utilization is increasing but there is significant upside potential without major capital expenditure (Page 16).
  • Some capacity expansion may happen flexibly without much capex after two years (Page 16).
  • Improvements through automation and better resource utilization are ongoing to enhance productivity with existing assets and manpower (Page 16).
  • No additional funds are required for general growth and capex; growth will be managed through internal resources (Page 8).
  • Short-term borrowings might increase temporarily due to smart meter order preparation but expected to level out by Q4 as the working capital cycle stabilizes (Page 8).

How does HPL Electric & Power Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Manufacturing?

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