HPL Electric & Power Ltd

Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Industrial Manufacturing

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Norevenue: Category 1margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No immediate plans for additional debt repayment; current short-term borrowings remain as is. - Growth in smart meter orders may cause short-term borrowings to increase temporarily to manage working capital, especially before the supply cycle kicks in, likely leveling out by Q4. - No additional funds required for general growth or capex; expansion and improvements will be funded through internal resources. - The company successfully grew revenue by 25% last year with zero additional borrowings; expects continued growth without additional borrowing in regular businesses. - Focus remains on supplying smart meters mostly against bank LCs, improving working capital cycle as smart meter share increases. - No mention of any equity fundraising in the provided text.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- No immediate major capex is planned across product divisions, including metering, switchgear, wire & cable (Page 16). - Capacity utilization is increasing but there is significant upside potential without major capital expenditure (Page 16). - Some capacity expansion may happen flexibly without much capex after two years (Page 16). - Improvements through automation and better resource utilization are ongoing to enhance productivity with existing assets and manpower (Page 16). - No additional funds are required for general growth and capex; growth will be managed through internal resources (Page 8). - Short-term borrowings might increase temporarily due to smart meter order preparation but expected to level out by Q4 as the working capital cycle stabilizes (Page 8).
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Metering segment expected to grow significantly, with revenue potentially rising from INR 850 crores to INR 1,100-1,200 crores in next two years. - Overall sales could reach INR 1,800-2,000 crores across all product areas without major capex. - Smart meters to dominate metering revenue by 2026, possibly contributing nearly 100% of the metering segment. - Metering expected to contribute around 55%-60% of overall company revenue in next 2-3 years. - Consumer & Industrial segment to grow steadily with double-digit growth despite lighting price erosion. - Wire & Cable and Switchgear segments also projected to grow driven by infrastructure spending and market demand. - Revenue growth of about 40% targeted in the metering segment for the current year. - Order book currently stands around INR 2,100 crores, mostly smart meter orders, with execution expected over 2-2.5 years.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- HPL anticipates a significant growth in revenue, particularly in the metering segment, expecting a 40% jump in metering revenue to about INR 850 crores in FY24 from INR 600 crores last year. - The Consumer & Industrial segment is expected to exhibit steady double-digit growth despite pricing pressures in some areas like Lighting. - Operating margins are stable due to cost reductions despite value erosion in certain segments. - The company aims to improve ROCE to double digits by the end of the current year, targeting around 15% over the next three years. - Smart meters are projected to dominate future revenues, potentially contributing around 60% of total revenue within 2-3 years. - Expansion in existing capacity and automation is expected to enhance productivity without requiring significant capex in the immediate 1–2 years. - Overall, HPL foresees a positive earnings trajectory supported by increased order book and market demand.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- As of July 4, 2023, the current order book stands at approximately INR 2,100 crores. - About 82% of the order book is for meters, with over 75% of those being smart meters. - Recent orders include a INR 417 crores order from West Bengal State Electricity Board under the AMISP scheme, already included in the order book. - The order book is expected to double in the near future given ongoing large order inflows. - Smart meter orders generally have a supply timeline of around 2 to 2.5 years. - Revenues from new AMISP orders usually begin 6 to 9 months after the order is received due to preparatory activities. - Overall, strong growth in orders is anticipated for FY '24 and beyond, driven largely by smart meter rollouts under the RDSS scheme and other grid modernization programs.