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HPL Electric & Power LtdQ1 FY24

HPL Electric & Power Ltd Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 380P/E: 22.1Market Cap: ₹2.2K CrSector: Industrial Manufacturing

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Revenue for FY '25 expected to grow from INR1,460 crores to around INR1,800 crores or more, indicating strong growth momentum.
  • Smart meter segment to see significant growth over the next 3-5 years, with existing order book of around INR2,000 crores and additional large orders expected.
  • Smart meter capacity to increase gradually, aiming to reach 1.5 crore units per annum in 2-3 years.
  • Wire and cable segment forecasted to grow well in the next 2 years, with expansion in product range and selective capex planned.
  • Consumer business expected to grow steadily, driven by channel expansion and brand building.
  • Switchgear segment saw 27.4% growth and expected to grow further due to housing and infrastructure demand.
  • Overall volume growth anticipated especially in lighting from H2 FY '25 onwards after industry stabilization.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • FY '24 PAT increased by 44% to INR44 crores; Q4 FY '24 PAT up 22%
  • EBITDA for FY '24 rose 22% to INR192 crores; Q4 FY '24 EBITDA up 24%
  • EPS grew 45% in FY '24, reaching INR7
  • FY '25 revenue guidance: expected growth from INR1,460 crores to around INR1,800+ crores
  • EBITDA margin expected to remain strong; potential improvement as volumes increase
  • Margin performance depends on product mix and commodity price stability
  • Growth driven primarily by smart meters, with 20-25%+ growth expected over next 3-4 years
  • Consumer segment and cable & wire businesses also expected to grow steadily
  • Company focused on operational efficiencies, cost control, channel expansion, brand building, and automation to support margin and profit growth

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Fundraise plans

  • Currently, HPL Electric & Power has some debt on the books due to scale-up activities over the past 2-3 years.
  • The company aims to keep debt at a similar level but expects revenue to grow significantly in the next 2-3 years.
  • They are focusing on reducing debt post-FY '26 as working capital cycle improves, especially in the metering business.
  • Efforts are underway to reduce effective interest rates, aided by a rating upgrade.
  • No specific mention of new fundraising through equity during the call.
  • Overall, the strategy is to manage debt prudently while scaling up operations rather than aggressively raising fresh debt or equity at this time.

Order book

Yes
  • Current order book stands at around INR 2,000 crores, primarily in smart meters (about 87%).
  • Delivery schedules for the existing order book range between 2 to 2.5 years, extending to 2.5-3 years for full execution.
  • Large pipeline of additional orders expected as many states are yet to fully implement smart metering.
  • The order pipeline from utilities to AMISPs is strong, with an estimated INR 10,000 crores worth of government tenders either floated or expected soon.
  • Anticipated order book expansion could see it grow beyond INR 3,000 crores in the near future.
  • Focus remains on fast execution and meeting delivery schedules rather than worrying about quarter-to-quarter order book dips.
  • Orders are expected to keep flowing depending on performance and delivery by AMISPs.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Gradual capacity expansion planned for smart meters to reach 1.5 crore units annually in the next 2-3 years, depending on demand.
  • Current basic infrastructure for smart meter production is mostly in place; upcoming investments focus on automation and add-ons.
  • Recent capacity expansions include industrial plastic molding (20+ molding machines), electronic manufacturing, and semi-automated conveyorized smart meter lines.
  • Future projects may include selective capex in the Cable and Wire segment to enhance product range aligned with growth opportunities.
  • Manpower expansions are minimal; focus is on automation to control labor costs despite revenue growth.
  • Larger orders and strong pipeline expected, driving investments in capacity and manufacturing capabilities to meet demand over next 2-3 years.
  • Capex will be incremental, aligned closely with execution schedules and order inflow from AMISPs.

How does HPL Electric & Power Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Manufacturing?

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