Hubtown Ltd
Q3 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Realty
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
πrevenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Hubtown targets pre-sales of INR 6,000 crore for FY26, with H1 already achieving INR 3,500 crore.
- Revenue recognition depends on obtaining occupation certificates and possession handover; strong growth expected as more projects are completed.
- The amalgamation of three projects (25 South, 25 Downtown, 25 West) with Hubtown from April 2025 will boost consolidated revenues, showing a revenue bump post-amalgamation.
- Launch pipeline includes three major projects: Ultra-Luxury Thane project (~1 million sq ft), Weekend Homes in Khalapur (MMR region), and new buildings at Chembur with high-end and commercial projects planned.
- Margins are projected at 30-35%, with free cash flow expected to be more than sufficient to meet liabilities and fund expansion.
- The company is accelerating construction to shorten completion times, aiming to complete projects faster than earlier timelines, supporting quicker revenue realization.
πmargin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Hubtown targets pre-sales of INR 6,000 crore in FY26, indicating strong sales momentum.
- Revenue recognition is linked to possession and occupation certifications, with INR 2,847 crore of revenue recognized to date and INR 12,000 crore pending as projects reach completion.
- Profit before tax for H1 FY26 rose 220.72% YoY to INR 130.66 crore, reflecting significant earnings growth.
- Margins expected to be in the range of 30%-35% on sales, supporting healthy profitability.
- Post-amalgamation, inclusion of premium projects like 25 South, 25 Downtown, and 25 West will boost scale and revenues from FY27 onwards.
- Management emphasizes disciplined capital structure and cash flow-backed debt repayment to sustain financial strength.
- Launch pipeline includes ultra-luxury projects in prime locations and commercial developments to drive future earnings.
- EBITDA and EPS growth are expected to improve as new projects complete and sales convert to revenue.
πorderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Pre-sales year-to-date, including proposed amalgamating entities, stood at INR 3,547 crores as of H1 FY26.
- Total pre-sales achieved to date amount to INR 14,779 crores.
- Out of total pre-sales, revenue recognized is INR 2,847 crores; the balance of approximately INR 11,932 crores is pending recognition, contingent on occupation certificate and possession.
- The company targets INR 6,000 crores in pre-sales for FY26.
- The sales pipeline includes ultra-luxury projects in prime locations such as Thane (1 million sq.ft), Weekend Homes in the MMR region (Khalapur), and high-end projects at Chembur, along with planned commercial launches.
- Post-amalgamation, development value increases from approximately INR 85,000 crores to over INR 130,000 crores with addition of 25 South, 25 Downtown, and 25 West projects.
- The company's amalgamation process is expected to complete by FY27, unlocking scale benefits.
π°fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Hubtown Limited has initiated an equity fund raise through a preferential issue, which has received strong interest from retail HNIs and domestic institutional investors, including marquee names. This fund raise is expected to complete within the current quarter, subject to statutory approvals.
- In Q2 FY26, the company raised approximately INR 1 billion of low-interest debt on flexible pay-from-cash-flow terms aligning with their capital strategy.
- The company aims to maintain disciplined capital structure and raise loans based on cash flow-based repayment schedules moving forward.
- There is no indication of aggressive land acquisition using cash; rather, equity exchange might be used as a dilution tool for acquiring land or projects when appropriate.
- Overall, financial prudence will guide any future fundraising, balancing between equity and debt as per project needs and cash flow.
ποΈcapex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Hubtown Limited plans to continue acquiring land bank but focuses on acquiring only if there is reasonable profitability.
- They aim to avoid aggressive land purchases just to show revenue recognition or land bank buildup.
- The company has recently added 100 acres to their 25 Estates project at Khalapur, indicating ongoing strategic investment.
- They have been acquiring partnersβ shares in projects like 25 Downtown to increase their effective land bank.
- Future expansions will be funded by free cash flow expected from projects such as 25 Downtown, 25 South, and 25 West, which are anticipated to generate surplus cash.
- The company plans launches of new projects including an ultra-luxury Thane project (1 million sq. ft.), weekend homes at Khalapur, high-end buildings at Chembur, and commercial projects.
- Financial prudence will guide loan raising, focusing on cash flow-based repayment.
