Igarashi Motors India LtdQ4 FY18
Igarashi Motors India Ltd Q4 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹410P/E: 90.6Market Cap: ₹1.2K CrSector: Auto Components
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
2 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →Volume growth relative to last year increased by about 17%, better than previous two years.
- →Expected volume growth targets around 20%-25% per year, linked with capacity additions.
- →Revenue growth for the first nine months stood at 19%-20%, with profitability growth slightly higher.
- →Capital expenditure planned at 10%-12% of revenues annually to support capacity expansions and technology upgrades.
- →Capacity increase phased over four years: limited revenue in year one, ~50% in year three, and ~75%-85% by year four post capex.
- →Growth driven by expanding markets (North/South America, China, Europe) and new customer enquiries, especially from China.
- →Continued focus on quality and cost competitiveness to drive sustained growth.
- →Product lifecycle expected to stabilize at 6-7 years, with efforts to increase penetration and downsize product life cycles.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →Volume growth is expected at 20%-25% per year over the next few years, driven by growing market demand and capacity additions.
- →Revenue growth for the nine-month period was 19%-20% year-over-year, with profitability growing slightly higher.
- →Capex will increase to 10%-12% of revenue from the usual 6%-7%, supporting capacity expansion and technology upgrades.
- →New platform developments and customer inquiries indicate robust medium-term growth prospects, especially in automotive electric motors.
- →Manufacturing economies of scale in contract manufacturing are expected to improve EBITDA contribution timelines (about 2 years vs. 4 years for IP products).
- →Continuous investment in process upgrades, quality improvements, and automation will enhance competitiveness and margins.
- →Employee costs and depreciation may rise in absolute terms due to scaling, but are expected to be stable or improve as a percentage of sales.
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Fundraise plans
- →There is no explicit mention of any current or upcoming fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
- →The company discusses capital expenditure plans (around 10%-12% of revenue), funded through internal cash reserves, indicating no immediate need for external financing.
- →The mention of a private equity investor in the unlisted contract manufacturing company hints at some investment within the group, but no new fundraising plans are disclosed.
- →The merger of the contract manufacturing company with the listed entity is underway but no related financing or fund-raising details are provided.
- →Management emphasizes prudent use of cash deposits for growth but no direct reference to raising new debt or equity capital.
Order book
Yes- →The company mentioned that their platforms are being developed as generic platforms for multiple applications (engine, exhaust, turbochargers).
- →By calendar year 2018, they expect to see ramp-ups of these new platforms, indicating active and growing order flows.
- →The management highlighted that they do not wait for customer purchase orders before investing; they are proactively preparing capacity to meet demand.
- →They have acquired about 130,000 sq. feet of infrastructure to support new production lines and expected order inflows.
- →There is strong confidence in market opportunities, including good enquiry flows (RSQs) from China and globally.
- →The firm expects volume growth of about 17% year-on-year, supported by existing and upcoming orders.
- →No specific numeric orderbook value disclosed, but indications are that order intake is healthy and ramping up.
Capex plans
Yes- →The company plans to increase capital expenditure (capex) from the usual 6%-7% of revenue to about 9%-12% over the next two years, roughly translating to around INR 60 Crore per year based on current revenues.
- →Capex will focus on acquiring new infrastructure, with approximately 130,000 sq. feet already acquired for new production lines.
- →Investments include upgrading from generation three to generation four technology in equipment and assembly lines, enhancing quality, capacity, and cost efficiency.
- →The capacity expansion aims to support volume growth of 20%-25% per year, with capacity ramp-up spread over several years (limited revenue in year 1, 50% in year 3, 75%-85% in year 4).
- →A joint venture and technical cooperation with a top-notch powertrain actuators engineer from General Motors supports advanced product development.
- →The company is moving towards platformized, brushless DC motor production, signaling strategic long-term investments in R&D and manufacturing capability.
How does Igarashi Motors India Ltd rank vs peers in Auto Components?
Pro feature1Igarashi Motors India Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3
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