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Igarashi Motors India LtdQ4 FY18

Igarashi Motors India Ltd Q4 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 410P/E: 90.6Market Cap: ₹1.2K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Volume growth relative to last year increased by about 17%, better than previous two years.
  • Expected volume growth targets around 20%-25% per year, linked with capacity additions.
  • Revenue growth for the first nine months stood at 19%-20%, with profitability growth slightly higher.
  • Capital expenditure planned at 10%-12% of revenues annually to support capacity expansions and technology upgrades.
  • Capacity increase phased over four years: limited revenue in year one, ~50% in year three, and ~75%-85% by year four post capex.
  • Growth driven by expanding markets (North/South America, China, Europe) and new customer enquiries, especially from China.
  • Continued focus on quality and cost competitiveness to drive sustained growth.
  • Product lifecycle expected to stabilize at 6-7 years, with efforts to increase penetration and downsize product life cycles.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Volume growth is expected at 20%-25% per year over the next few years, driven by growing market demand and capacity additions.
  • Revenue growth for the nine-month period was 19%-20% year-over-year, with profitability growing slightly higher.
  • Capex will increase to 10%-12% of revenue from the usual 6%-7%, supporting capacity expansion and technology upgrades.
  • New platform developments and customer inquiries indicate robust medium-term growth prospects, especially in automotive electric motors.
  • Manufacturing economies of scale in contract manufacturing are expected to improve EBITDA contribution timelines (about 2 years vs. 4 years for IP products).
  • Continuous investment in process upgrades, quality improvements, and automation will enhance competitiveness and margins.
  • Employee costs and depreciation may rise in absolute terms due to scaling, but are expected to be stable or improve as a percentage of sales.

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no explicit mention of any current or upcoming fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
  • The company discusses capital expenditure plans (around 10%-12% of revenue), funded through internal cash reserves, indicating no immediate need for external financing.
  • The mention of a private equity investor in the unlisted contract manufacturing company hints at some investment within the group, but no new fundraising plans are disclosed.
  • The merger of the contract manufacturing company with the listed entity is underway but no related financing or fund-raising details are provided.
  • Management emphasizes prudent use of cash deposits for growth but no direct reference to raising new debt or equity capital.

Order book

Yes
  • The company mentioned that their platforms are being developed as generic platforms for multiple applications (engine, exhaust, turbochargers).
  • By calendar year 2018, they expect to see ramp-ups of these new platforms, indicating active and growing order flows.
  • The management highlighted that they do not wait for customer purchase orders before investing; they are proactively preparing capacity to meet demand.
  • They have acquired about 130,000 sq. feet of infrastructure to support new production lines and expected order inflows.
  • There is strong confidence in market opportunities, including good enquiry flows (RSQs) from China and globally.
  • The firm expects volume growth of about 17% year-on-year, supported by existing and upcoming orders.
  • No specific numeric orderbook value disclosed, but indications are that order intake is healthy and ramping up.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company plans to increase capital expenditure (capex) from the usual 6%-7% of revenue to about 9%-12% over the next two years, roughly translating to around INR 60 Crore per year based on current revenues.
  • Capex will focus on acquiring new infrastructure, with approximately 130,000 sq. feet already acquired for new production lines.
  • Investments include upgrading from generation three to generation four technology in equipment and assembly lines, enhancing quality, capacity, and cost efficiency.
  • The capacity expansion aims to support volume growth of 20%-25% per year, with capacity ramp-up spread over several years (limited revenue in year 1, 50% in year 3, 75%-85% in year 4).
  • A joint venture and technical cooperation with a top-notch powertrain actuators engineer from General Motors supports advanced product development.
  • The company is moving towards platformized, brushless DC motor production, signaling strategic long-term investments in R&D and manufacturing capability.

How does Igarashi Motors India Ltd rank vs peers in Auto Components?

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1Igarashi Motors India Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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