Indostar Capital Finance Ltd

Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Finance

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yesrevenue: Category 1margin: Category 3orderbook: No informationcapex: Yes
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The transcript does not explicitly mention any current or expected order book or pending orders figures. - The focus is on the financial performance, loan disbursements, asset quality, and operational efficiency. - The company is expanding its branch network and increasing manpower to support business growth. - The CV (Commercial Vehicle) loan book is expected to grow to approximately INR 9,500 crores. - New product launches, such as SME micro loans, are being piloted to further expand the portfolio. - Collections and resolution of legacy portfolios, including SR (Security Receipts) worth about INR 211 crores, are ongoing over the next 2-3 years. - No specific data on order book or pending orders is provided in the available transcript.
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- IndoStar Capital Finance has filed a prospectus on July 29, 2024, for a public issue of Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) aiming to raise around INR 300 crores (INR 150 crores + INR 150 crores). - They have raised about INR 730 crores during the current quarter primarily from banks, including term loans from a public sector bank, private sector bank funds (WCDL), a large Private Term Credit (PTC), and some Commercial Papers (CPs). - There are several sanctions from banks in the pipeline expected to fructify in August and September 2024. - The company is confident that these combined sources will help secure funds at substantially lower rates, replacing existing high-cost NCD loans which will get repaid over the next 3-5 quarters. - Cost of funds is expected to reduce further as transition from NCDs to bank funds progresses over the coming quarters.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- IndoStar Capital Finance is focusing on expanding operations, particularly in Tier 3 and Tier 4 cities, emphasizing the used commercial vehicle segment to leverage rural demand. - The company has made significant investments in technology, including end-to-end loan origination driven by technology, and is launching a digital connector app to onboard connectors seamlessly. - They are piloting a new SME micro loan product in Tamil Nadu, targeting INR 3 to 7 lakh loans against property, which will be rolled out further. - Plans include increasing branch strength from 391 to around 460-470 by year-end and adding employees (about 482 added recently), including 60 for the SME business. - They are pursuing a public issue of NCDs (about INR 300 crores planned), alongside raising funds from banks and other channels for growth and cost optimization. - No specific mention of large capital expenditure projects, but focus is on strategic investments in technology, distribution expansion, and new product launches.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Total disbursements for Q1 FY '25 reached INR1,627 crores, showing 45.8% YoY growth. - Expect strong revenue growth from increased yields, especially from shifting focus to smaller, higher-yield vehicles (pickups and small commercial vehicles). - CV standalone business projected to reach around INR9,500 crores AUM, growing quarter-on-quarter. - Housing Finance disbursements expected to moderate in Q1, then ramp up in Q2 and Q3, aiming to meet annual budget targets. - Expansion of branch network planned from 391 to about 460-470 branches by year-end to support growth. - New SME micro-loan products (INR3-7 lakh ticket size) being piloted, expected to scale up, aiding growth in underserved Tier 3 and Tier 4 markets. - Revenue growth supported by increased insurance income and yield improvements (up ~70 bps over last 3 quarters). - Operational efficiency and digital initiatives to sustain sales productivity and customer acquisition. Overall, the company is optimistic about sustained growth in sales, revenue, and loan volumes.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Revenue growth is expected due to increasing yields, expanding business in Tier 3 and Tier 4 markets, and new insurance income streams starting February 2024, with INR15 crores approximately in the current quarter and expected continuation. - Cost of funds is projected to reduce as cheaper bank loans replace higher-cost NCD borrowings, with incremental borrowing costs falling from 12.7% to around 10.5%. - Operating expenses are stabilizing, with manpower additions primarily supporting SME business and branch expansions, but no significant new expenses anticipated. - Credit costs are expected to remain steady at around 1.5% long term, supporting stable asset quality. - Loan book growth continues, particularly in commercial vehicle (CV) financing, targeting INR9,500 crores standalone CV book, with 11% growth in Q1 FY '25 alone. - Overall profitability is expected to improve from the current low ROE (~0.36%) due to yield enhancement, reduced funding costs, and stable operating expenses.