Indus Towers Ltd

Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Telecom - Services

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company is actively monitoring its customers' fundraise plans as part of discussions on past dues clearance. - No explicit mention of Indus Towers Limited planning new fundraising through debt or equity in the near term was made during the call. - Management is in close touch with customers to ensure payment collections and is working on settlement plans for past dues. - Decisions on dividends and financial management will depend on free cash flow assessment at year-end. - The elevated capex indicates ongoing investment funded through internal cash flows rather than fresh fundraising presently. Overall, while customer fundraising is being monitored, there is no clear communication about Indus Towers itself raising new debt or equity immediately.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Capex remains elevated for the full year due to healthy order book and continued rollout momentum, especially driven by rural expansion and 5G deployments. - Capex per tower varies widely: lean towers cost approximately Rs. 3.5 to 5 lakh, while macro towers range from Rs. 15 to 25 lakh. - The company is investing in cost efficiencies across designing, procurement, and erection through automation and digital interventions to build cost-competitive towers. - Elevated capex of Rs. 23 billion was recorded in Q2 FY2024 to support tenancy additions and swift rollouts by major customers. - Strategic investments include deploying clean energy solutions such as 300 zero-emission energy systems based on aluminum-air technology (in partnership with IOC Phinergy) and adding over 2,200 solar-powered sites to reduce diesel consumption and optimize energy costs. - Continued focus on sustainable expansion and infrastructure buildout to capitalize on 5G growth and rural market opportunities.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Indus Towers expects continued strong tower addition momentum in the near term, driven by accelerated rural expansion by a major customer and 5G rollouts. - Order books appear healthy, with similar or slightly higher rollout activity expected in upcoming quarters. - The rapid rollout of 5G infrastructures, with nearly 340,000 5G base stations deployed, supports growth potential. - Growing data consumption (up 24% YoY) and migration from 2G to 4G/5G is expected to drive infrastructure demand. - The tenancy additions run rate has nearly doubled YoY, increasing market share with major customers. - Management anticipates increased demand for new sites as networks mature to support decongestion. - Free cash flow currently impacted by elevated capex and receivables but expected to improve with sustained payment collections. - Overall outlook is positive with growth driven by rural expansion, 5G rollout, and market leadership in passive infrastructure.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Indus Towers expects continued strong tower addition momentum in Q2 and near term, driven by accelerated rural expansion from a major customer and 5G rollouts. - Revenue growth is supported by increasing tenancy and swift 5G deployment, although Q2 revenues were impacted by some deferred revenue recognition. - EBITDA margins improved significantly year-on-year, aided by growth and better cost efficiency efforts, despite some one-time impacts. - The company is investing heavily in capex (Rs. 23 billion in Q2) to support rollout momentum, impacting free cash flow temporarily. - Return ratios: reported pre-tax ROCE at 14%, post-tax ROE at 15.1% (rolling 12 months). - Management remains optimistic about order book health and expects similar or higher rollout activity in coming quarters. - Profit after tax reported growth was 48% YoY but adjusted profit declined slightly; future profit growth depends on rollout pace and revenue recognition resolution. - Dividend decisions will be based on free cash flow at fiscal year-end, influenced by capex and collection trends.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The order book for Indus Towers Limited remains quite healthy in the near term. - Management expects similar or slightly higher rollout momentum in the next couple of quarters compared to the current quarter. - There is no indication of a reduction in order book for the second half of the year. - Despite Airtel indicating rural expansion might slow down by Nov-Dec, Indus Towers does not see a decline in their order book currently. - The company anticipates continued elevated capex to support ongoing tower rollout and tenancy additions. - Rollouts are expected to continue being robust, driven by one of their major customers' rural expansion and 5G deployments.