Arthneeti
Sale is live|00:00:00
Inox Green Energy Services LtdQ3 FY23

Inox Green Energy Services Ltd Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 198P/E: 89.0Market Cap: ₹7.1K CrSector: Commercial Services & Supplies

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

No

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • INOX Green aims to nearly double its O&M portfolio from 3.2 GW to 6 GW by FY26 through organic and inorganic growth.
  • Parent company Inox Wind targets executing a minimum of 500 MW of orders annually starting FY24, which will integrate into INOX Green's portfolio.
  • INOX Green expects organic growth of 1,500 MW between FY24 and FY26.
  • There is a 10 GW market opportunity from unorganized, fragmented wind fleet O&M players for inorganic acquisitions.
  • The subsidiary I-Fox recently secured a 51 MW O&M contract with NLC India, indicating order inflows.
  • Management expects steady revenue additions, with around INR 80 crores incremental revenue annually per 1,000 MW added.
  • The business enjoys stable, annuity-like revenues with built-in annual escalation and strong stickiness.
  • Overall outlook is positive, anticipating growth driven by sector tailwinds and strategic acquisitions.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • INOX Green aims to nearly double its O&M portfolio from 3.2 GW to 6 GW by FY26 through organic and inorganic growth, adding approximately 1,000 MW annually.
  • Organic growth is expected to contribute around 500 MW per year; inorganic additions come from acquisition opportunities in the fragmented wind O&M market (~10 GW opportunity).
  • EBITDA margins are stable, historically over 50%, and expected to continue.
  • EBITDA run rate is improving; H1 FY24 EBITDA was INR 62 crores, annualized to about INR 125 crores.
  • ROCE and ROE are projected around 18-20%, with improvements expected as depreciation reduces the gross block.
  • Finance costs will reduce significantly post debt retirement, virtually eliminating interest expenses by next fiscal year.
  • Revenue per MW is estimated between INR 8-10 lakhs, with blended EBIT margins of about 50%.
  • The company expects stable, annuity-like cash flows with long-term contracts (20-25 years), providing predictable profit growth.

3 more insights locked — sign up free to unlock

Fundraise plans

No
  • No specific mention of any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
  • Management indicated that Inox Green is expecting to become net debt-free by March following the Nani Virani divestment.
  • They expect to have very minimal finance costs going forward, mainly routine banking charges (INR 1-3 crores), and do not intend to have significant finance costs next year.
  • The company has no plans for further capital expenditure (capex), which likely reduces the need for raising additional funds.
  • Growth is expected to come through organic and inorganic means without reliance on new debt or equity fundraising.

Order book

Yes
  • Inox Wind's current order book is close to 1,300 MW.
  • The company plans to add a minimum of 500 MW of orders annually starting FY24.
  • INOX Green is committed to doubling its O&M portfolio from 3.2 GW to 6 GW by FY26 through organic and inorganic means.
  • There is a substantial market opportunity with around 10 GW from unorganized and fragmented wind fleet O&M players, particularly distressed OEM assets.
  • INOX Green and its subsidiary I-Fox are actively engaged in discussions with third-party wind O&M service providers for portfolio acquisitions.
  • The subsidiary I-Fox won a 51 MW O&M order from NLC India.
  • Management envisions adding about 1,000 MW annually, split roughly 50-50 between organic growth and inorganic acquisitions.

Capex plans

Yes
  • INOX Green Energy Services Limited currently has **zero capex plans**; the company is not undertaking any new capital expenditure.
  • The company's **net block reduces by depreciation (~INR 50 crores per year)**, and it anticipates eliminating most of its property and plant depreciation by FY26.
  • Future ROCE and ROE are expected to improve as depreciation lowers the net block.
  • Growth is planned through **organic and inorganic portfolio additions**, not capital investments.
  • Inorganic growth opportunities include acquisitions in the **unorganized and fragmented wind O&M sector**, targeting around 10 GW of assets from distressed OEMs.
  • The company recently signed a term sheet to **divest 100% stake in 50 MW Nani Virani SPV** for ~INR 290 crores to become net debt free.
  • The focus is on **enhancing operational efficiency and digital transformation** rather than capital investments.

How does Inox Green Energy Services Ltd rank vs peers in Commercial Services & Supplies?

Pro feature
1Inox Green Energy Services Ltd
Rev 2Mar 3

See full Commercial Services & Supplies sector rankings

Want more stocks like Inox Green Energy Services Ltd?

Build an AI portfolio filtered by sector, market cap, and growth rank. Takes 2 minutes.

Build my portfolio