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Inox Green Energy Services LtdQ3 FY24

Inox Green Energy Services Ltd Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 198P/E: 89.0Market Cap: ₹7.1K CrSector: Commercial Services & Supplies

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

4 of 5 growth signals are positive — a strong management growth story.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • INOX Green aims to nearly double its O&M portfolio to 6 gigawatts by FY 2026 and reach 10 gigawatts within 3-4 years.
  • INOX Wind plans to add at least 4 gigawatts organically to INOX Green’s order book by FY 2027.
  • The company is actively pursuing inorganic growth opportunities through acquisitions and tenders for third-party wind assets.
  • Recent strategic investments and acquisitions like I-FOX (adding 54 MW to the portfolio) are driving growth.
  • The wind power sector outlook remains strong with around 12 gigawatts of hybrid FDRE wind capacities awarded in FY 2025.
  • The company expects continuous robust commissioning of wind capacities, providing long-term multi-decadal O&M opportunities.
  • Revenue growth is supported by a broadening portfolio, increased machine availability (96.4% in Q2 FY25), value-added and refurbishment services.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • INOX Green targets significant portfolio growth: 6 GW by FY '26 and 10 GW within 3-4 years, driven by strong organic and inorganic growth.
  • O&M business operates at approximately 50% EBITDA margin, expected to sustain.
  • Removal of power evacuation business will eliminate depreciation (~Rs. 16-17 Cr per quarter), potentially improving quarterly PAT by Rs. 12 Cr+, enhancing profitability.
  • Tax outflows expected to be nil for next 2-3 years due to carried forward losses, boosting PAT conversion.
  • Strategic Rs. 200 Cr investment and prudent capital allocation aim to add significant value and accelerate growth.
  • Continuous cost control and operational efficiency, including indigenization of spares and in-house crane operations, will improve margins.
  • Recent acquisitions like I-FOX and inorganic expansions contribute to profit growth.
  • Free two-year O&M post-turbine commissioning is accounted for by revenue recognition over contract life, ensuring stable future earnings.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • INOX Green Energy Services Limited has called in the first Rs. 500 crores of a planned Rs. 1,000 crores equity raise.
  • The next Rs. 500 crores of the preferential equity raise, available for the next 15 months, has not yet been called.
  • Rs. 200 crores from the initial equity raise is currently held as liquid cash on the balance sheet.
  • Rs. 100 crores was used towards debt pre-payment.
  • The company is prudently evaluating multiple inorganic growth opportunities and will utilize the available cash for acquisitions that fit its capital allocation policy.
  • No details were shared about raising new debt; the focus appears to be on judicious use of existing equity funds.
  • The management emphasizes disciplined capital allocation and will avoid overpaying for acquisitions.

Order book

Yes
  • Current wind O&M portfolio: ~3.5 gigawatts as of Q2 FY '25.
  • Expected portfolio: Target to reach 6 gigawatts by FY '26.
  • Longer-term guidance: 10 gigawatts in the next 3 to 4 years.
  • Organic growth: INOX Wind targeting to execute at least 4 gigawatts orders by FY '27 to be added to INOX Green.
  • Inorganic growth: Actively evaluating multiple M&A opportunities and acquiring portfolios of other ISPs.
  • Recent inorganic addition: I-FOX Windtechnik added 54 megawatts.
  • Strategic investments made (~Rs. 200 crores) to enhance pipeline.
  • Orderbook outlook: Strong growth both organically and via acquisitions with a stringent capital allocation policy.
  • Ongoing participation in tenders for O&M and refurbishment projects.
  • Average contract length increasing, currently around 10 years for typical O&M contracts.

Capex plans

Yes
  • INOX Green has made a strategic investment of around Rs. 200 crores in an entity expected to add significant value; details to be disclosed in the coming months.
  • The company is evaluating multiple inorganic growth opportunities with a stringent capital allocation policy, avoiding overpaying for acquisitions.
  • They have completed the acquisition of I-FOX Windtechnik, which doubled profitability and size in 12 months.
  • The company plans to call for the next Rs. 500 crores preferential equity within the next 15 months for further capital needs.
  • Transformer and crane businesses are part of Resco (a subsidiary), with cranes being acquired for captive use and potentially third-party services.
  • No plans to acquire transformer companies directly; focusing on value addition through tolling to enhance profitability.

How does Inox Green Energy Services Ltd rank vs peers in Commercial Services & Supplies?

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1Inox Green Energy Services Ltd
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