Inox Green Energy Services Ltd
Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Power
capex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yesfundraise: No
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Inox Wind's current order book is close to 1,300 MW.
- The company plans to add a minimum of 500 MW of orders annually starting FY24.
- INOX Green is committed to doubling its O&M portfolio from 3.2 GW to 6 GW by FY26 through organic and inorganic means.
- There is a substantial market opportunity with around 10 GW from unorganized and fragmented wind fleet O&M players, particularly distressed OEM assets.
- INOX Green and its subsidiary I-Fox are actively engaged in discussions with third-party wind O&M service providers for portfolio acquisitions.
- The subsidiary I-Fox won a 51 MW O&M order from NLC India.
- Management envisions adding about 1,000 MW annually, split roughly 50-50 between organic growth and inorganic acquisitions.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No specific mention of any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
- Management indicated that Inox Green is expecting to become net debt-free by March following the Nani Virani divestment.
- They expect to have very minimal finance costs going forward, mainly routine banking charges (INR 1-3 crores), and do not intend to have significant finance costs next year.
- The company has no plans for further capital expenditure (capex), which likely reduces the need for raising additional funds.
- Growth is expected to come through organic and inorganic means without reliance on new debt or equity fundraising.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- INOX Green Energy Services Limited currently has **zero capex plans**; the company is not undertaking any new capital expenditure.
- The company's **net block reduces by depreciation (~INR 50 crores per year)**, and it anticipates eliminating most of its property and plant depreciation by FY26.
- Future ROCE and ROE are expected to improve as depreciation lowers the net block.
- Growth is planned through **organic and inorganic portfolio additions**, not capital investments.
- Inorganic growth opportunities include acquisitions in the **unorganized and fragmented wind O&M sector**, targeting around 10 GW of assets from distressed OEMs.
- The company recently signed a term sheet to **divest 100% stake in 50 MW Nani Virani SPV** for ~INR 290 crores to become net debt free.
- The focus is on **enhancing operational efficiency and digital transformation** rather than capital investments.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- INOX Green aims to nearly double its O&M portfolio from 3.2 GW to 6 GW by FY26 through organic and inorganic growth.
- Parent company Inox Wind targets executing a minimum of 500 MW of orders annually starting FY24, which will integrate into INOX Green's portfolio.
- INOX Green expects organic growth of 1,500 MW between FY24 and FY26.
- There is a 10 GW market opportunity from unorganized, fragmented wind fleet O&M players for inorganic acquisitions.
- The subsidiary I-Fox recently secured a 51 MW O&M contract with NLC India, indicating order inflows.
- Management expects steady revenue additions, with around INR 80 crores incremental revenue annually per 1,000 MW added.
- The business enjoys stable, annuity-like revenues with built-in annual escalation and strong stickiness.
- Overall outlook is positive, anticipating growth driven by sector tailwinds and strategic acquisitions.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- INOX Green aims to nearly double its O&M portfolio from 3.2 GW to 6 GW by FY26 through organic and inorganic growth, adding approximately 1,000 MW annually.
- Organic growth is expected to contribute around 500 MW per year; inorganic additions come from acquisition opportunities in the fragmented wind O&M market (~10 GW opportunity).
- EBITDA margins are stable, historically over 50%, and expected to continue.
- EBITDA run rate is improving; H1 FY24 EBITDA was INR 62 crores, annualized to about INR 125 crores.
- ROCE and ROE are projected around 18-20%, with improvements expected as depreciation reduces the gross block.
- Finance costs will reduce significantly post debt retirement, virtually eliminating interest expenses by next fiscal year.
- Revenue per MW is estimated between INR 8-10 lakhs, with blended EBIT margins of about 50%.
- The company expects stable, annuity-like cash flows with long-term contracts (20-25 years), providing predictable profit growth.
