Inox Green Energy Services Ltd
Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Power
revenue: Category 1margin: Category 3orderbook: Yesfundraise: Yescapex: Yes
πorderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current wind O&M portfolio: ~3.5 gigawatts as of Q2 FY '25.
- Expected portfolio: Target to reach 6 gigawatts by FY '26.
- Longer-term guidance: 10 gigawatts in the next 3 to 4 years.
- Organic growth: INOX Wind targeting to execute at least 4 gigawatts orders by FY '27 to be added to INOX Green.
- Inorganic growth: Actively evaluating multiple M&A opportunities and acquiring portfolios of other ISPs.
- Recent inorganic addition: I-FOX Windtechnik added 54 megawatts.
- Strategic investments made (~Rs. 200 crores) to enhance pipeline.
- Orderbook outlook: Strong growth both organically and via acquisitions with a stringent capital allocation policy.
- Ongoing participation in tenders for O&M and refurbishment projects.
- Average contract length increasing, currently around 10 years for typical O&M contracts.
π°fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- INOX Green Energy Services Limited has called in the first Rs. 500 crores of a planned Rs. 1,000 crores equity raise.
- The next Rs. 500 crores of the preferential equity raise, available for the next 15 months, has not yet been called.
- Rs. 200 crores from the initial equity raise is currently held as liquid cash on the balance sheet.
- Rs. 100 crores was used towards debt pre-payment.
- The company is prudently evaluating multiple inorganic growth opportunities and will utilize the available cash for acquisitions that fit its capital allocation policy.
- No details were shared about raising new debt; the focus appears to be on judicious use of existing equity funds.
- The management emphasizes disciplined capital allocation and will avoid overpaying for acquisitions.
ποΈcapex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- INOX Green has made a strategic investment of around Rs. 200 crores in an entity expected to add significant value; details to be disclosed in the coming months.
- The company is evaluating multiple inorganic growth opportunities with a stringent capital allocation policy, avoiding overpaying for acquisitions.
- They have completed the acquisition of I-FOX Windtechnik, which doubled profitability and size in 12 months.
- The company plans to call for the next Rs. 500 crores preferential equity within the next 15 months for further capital needs.
- Transformer and crane businesses are part of Resco (a subsidiary), with cranes being acquired for captive use and potentially third-party services.
- No plans to acquire transformer companies directly; focusing on value addition through tolling to enhance profitability.
πrevenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- INOX Green aims to nearly double its O&M portfolio to 6 gigawatts by FY 2026 and reach 10 gigawatts within 3-4 years.
- INOX Wind plans to add at least 4 gigawatts organically to INOX Greenβs order book by FY 2027.
- The company is actively pursuing inorganic growth opportunities through acquisitions and tenders for third-party wind assets.
- Recent strategic investments and acquisitions like I-FOX (adding 54 MW to the portfolio) are driving growth.
- The wind power sector outlook remains strong with around 12 gigawatts of hybrid FDRE wind capacities awarded in FY 2025.
- The company expects continuous robust commissioning of wind capacities, providing long-term multi-decadal O&M opportunities.
- Revenue growth is supported by a broadening portfolio, increased machine availability (96.4% in Q2 FY25), value-added and refurbishment services.
πmargin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- INOX Green targets significant portfolio growth: 6 GW by FY '26 and 10 GW within 3-4 years, driven by strong organic and inorganic growth.
- O&M business operates at approximately 50% EBITDA margin, expected to sustain.
- Removal of power evacuation business will eliminate depreciation (~Rs. 16-17 Cr per quarter), potentially improving quarterly PAT by Rs. 12 Cr+, enhancing profitability.
- Tax outflows expected to be nil for next 2-3 years due to carried forward losses, boosting PAT conversion.
- Strategic Rs. 200 Cr investment and prudent capital allocation aim to add significant value and accelerate growth.
- Continuous cost control and operational efficiency, including indigenization of spares and in-house crane operations, will improve margins.
- Recent acquisitions like I-FOX and inorganic expansions contribute to profit growth.
- Free two-year O&M post-turbine commissioning is accounted for by revenue recognition over contract life, ensuring stable future earnings.
