IRB InvIT Fund
Q3 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis
Transport Infrastructure
orderbook: No informationfundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The management indicated that the InvIT has significant headroom to raise additional debt, with around Rs. 4,500 crores capacity to raise debt for new asset acquisitions.
- The current debt is only 20-25% of the Enterprise Value, indicating a low leverage position and room for further debt raising.
- There was no mention of imminent equity fundraising in the call.
- The management plans to acquire one or two assets every year, primarily focusing on Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) assets, which are low-risk and expected to be completed in coming years.
- Acquisition of new assets will likely be funded through a combination of internal accruals and additional debt.
- The management is being cautious and has not rushed asset acquisitions during the COVID period but plans to be more aggressive post recovery.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- No major new toll assets have been acquired in the last 4 years except the Amritsar-Pathankot project.
- COVID-19 created uncertainty, delaying acquisitions of new toll assets.
- Management plans to acquire low-risk HAM (Hybrid Annuity Model) assets, including one sponsor HAM asset expected soon, pending unit holder approval.
- Anticipate acquiring 4-5 HAM assets over the next 2-3 years to create a blended portfolio of fixed annuity and growth assets.
- Debt capacity of around Rs. 4,500 crores is available for raising funds to support acquisitions.
- Periodic major maintenance is conducted about every 5-6 years; O&M costs fixed under long-term contracts.
- Mobilization advances of Rs. 148-154 crores were given for project maintenance but are secured and interest-bearing; not considered loans.
- Overall, the fund is strategically focusing on increasing asset base from HAM projects with stable cash flows and limited acquisition of toll assets, ensuring no yield dilution to unitholders.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company expects revenue growth of around 10-12% for FY22 despite some project challenges.
- Improved economic activity, increased vaccination, and festive season uptick are driving traffic growth.
- Excluding the Pathankot-Amritsar project (currently non-operational), Q2 FY22 toll collections grew approx. 21.5% year-over-year.
- After Surat-Dahisar and Bharuch-Surat assets transfer, management expects to maintain distribution of Rs. 7-8 per unit annually, supported by traffic growth.
- Growth is expected from a combination of mature toll assets and new HAM (Hybrid Annuity Model) assets being acquired over next 2-3 years.
- The company plans to add 1-2 assets yearly, focusing on low-risk HAM projects to ensure stable, fixed revenues.
- The portfolio weighted average life is projected at 15-16 years post new asset acquisitions, supporting sustainable cash flows.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Revenue growth expected around 10-12% for FY22 despite Q1 softness, driven by economic recovery and compensation from Amritsar-Pathankot project.
- EBITDA for Q2 FY22 increased to Rs. 269 crores from Rs. 239 crores in Q2 FY21, indicating improved operating performance.
- Profit after tax for Q2 FY22 improved to Rs. 73 crores against Rs. 49 crores in Q2 FY21.
- Anticipate higher cash flows and distributions in FY22 compared to FY21 due to improved toll collections and compensation measures.
- Post Surat-Dahisar and Bharuch-Surat asset transfers, expect to sustain distribution of Rs. 7 to Rs. 8 per unit annually, supported by an assumed 11-12% revenue growth.
- Plan to acquire 1-2 HAM (Hybrid Annuity Model) assets annually over next 2-3 years to bolster growth and diversify revenue sources.
- Debt-equity ratio low with capacity to raise Rs. 4,500 crores for acquisitions, supporting earnings growth.
Overall, the management projects steady revenue and profit growth backed by asset additions and economic improvement.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The transcript does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for IRB InvIT Fund.
- The management discussed evaluation of third-party assets, stating most were at the drawing board stage with no board approvals yet.
- Over the past 3-4 years, they have evaluated 10-15 assets including toll projects but have not acquired due to inadequate growth or other challenges.
- The management indicated plans to acquire 1-2 HAM (Hybrid Annuity Model) assets per year as these are low-risk and will complement the existing portfolio.
- One sponsor HAM asset is expected to be completed and potentially acquired soon, subject to unit holder approval.
- The focus is on aggressively adding HAM assets as more third-party HAM projects get completed in the next 2-3 years.
- No specific order book values or pending order details are provided in the transcript.
