J Kumar Infraprojects Ltd

Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Construction

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company plans capex of around INR150 crores for FY '24, to be funded partly through internal accruals and partly through long-term debt (Kamal Gupta, Page 10-12). - Sanctioned fund-based limits stand at INR637 crores with 62% utilization; non-fund-based limits at INR3,280 crores with 80% utilization (Kamal Gupta, Page 12). - Debt is expected to remain stable around INR500-550 crores by the end of FY '24 (Nalin Gupta and Kamal Gupta, Pages 10 and 7). - For potential large projects like the bullet train, capex and associated debt may increase but spread over multiple years (Nalin Gupta, Pages 7 and 10). - No specific mentions of equity fundraising in the transcript. - Management emphasizes funding growth primarily through internal accruals and long-term debt, keeping overall debt levels controlled.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- FY '23 capex was INR230 crores, higher than the initially anticipated INR150 crores due to addition of 1 TBM and a new casting yard at Porbandar for a metro project. - For FY '24, planned capex is around INR150 crores mainly covering maintenance and incremental investments. - Capex is funded partially through internal accruals and partially through long-term loans. - If awarded the bullet train project, significant additional capex will be required due to the specialized nature and machinery needed, spread over 3-4 years. - Annual capex may increase progressively with new projects, including the High-Speed Rail (HSR) project that demands separate investment beyond current budgets. - Capital expenditure includes investments in equipment like TBMs, casting yards, and project-specific machinery to support metro and infrastructure projects. Overall, strategic capex aligns with project execution requirements and future opportunities like bullet train.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company expects revenue growth of around 15% CAGR for FY '24 and FY '25 on a year-on-year basis. - Order inflow guidance for FY '24 is confident at over INR5,000 crores with existing L1 positions and strong bidding pipeline. - The company has bid for projects worth over INR16,000 crores, including the high-speed railway (HSR) project with a share of INR6,200 crores. - 54% of the current INR11,854 crore order book is from the metro sector, indicating continued focus and potential growth there. - Expansion in scope of work and additional project awards like Dwarka Packages and HSR are expected to further boost revenues. - Robust execution capabilities and asset base position the company well to maintain growth and margin profile in coming years.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Revenue growth is expected at around 15% year-on-year for FY '24 and FY '25. - EBITDA margins are anticipated to remain stable in the range of 14% to 15%. - PAT margin showed improvement to 6.5% in FY '23 from 5.8% in the previous year, indicating better profitability trends. - ROE improved from 10.4% to 12.4% in FY '23; management aims for further improvement, targeting around 17-18% in a couple of years. - ROCE increased from 15.2% to 17.6% in FY '23, reflecting better capital efficiency. - Management confident in maintaining profitable growth with stable margins, supported by strong execution and robust order book (INR 11,854 crores as of March 2023). - Company targets order awards exceeding INR 5,000 crores during FY '24 to sustain growth momentum. - Expanded project scope and new awards expected to contribute to future earnings growth.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Current order book stands at approximately INR11,800 crores as of May 2023. - Around 54% of the order book is from the metro sector. - Line 3 metro project has about INR70 crores remaining to be completed by year-end 2023. - Mira Bhayandar Line 9 order is around INR1,000 crores out of INR2,000 crores; expected to complete in 1 to 1.5 years due to depot land shift. - Order inflow for FY 2023 was approximately INR2,652 crores; company expects to bag over INR5,000 crores in new orders in FY 2024. - Already bidded for projects worth INR12,000 crores and planning to bid for INR40,000+ crores in the current year (excluding the INR12,000 crores bidded). - Currently L1 in two projects totaling around INR486 crores, with order awards expected in Q1 FY 2024. - Additional large bids include INR16,000 crores High-Speed Rail (HSR) project and other metro, road tunneling jobs.