J Kumar Infraprojects Ltd
Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Construction
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The company plans capex of around INR150 crores for FY '24, to be funded partly through internal accruals and partly through long-term debt (Kamal Gupta, Page 10-12).
- Sanctioned fund-based limits stand at INR637 crores with 62% utilization; non-fund-based limits at INR3,280 crores with 80% utilization (Kamal Gupta, Page 12).
- Debt is expected to remain stable around INR500-550 crores by the end of FY '24 (Nalin Gupta and Kamal Gupta, Pages 10 and 7).
- For potential large projects like the bullet train, capex and associated debt may increase but spread over multiple years (Nalin Gupta, Pages 7 and 10).
- No specific mentions of equity fundraising in the transcript.
- Management emphasizes funding growth primarily through internal accruals and long-term debt, keeping overall debt levels controlled.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- FY '23 capex was INR230 crores, higher than the initially anticipated INR150 crores due to addition of 1 TBM and a new casting yard at Porbandar for a metro project.
- For FY '24, planned capex is around INR150 crores mainly covering maintenance and incremental investments.
- Capex is funded partially through internal accruals and partially through long-term loans.
- If awarded the bullet train project, significant additional capex will be required due to the specialized nature and machinery needed, spread over 3-4 years.
- Annual capex may increase progressively with new projects, including the High-Speed Rail (HSR) project that demands separate investment beyond current budgets.
- Capital expenditure includes investments in equipment like TBMs, casting yards, and project-specific machinery to support metro and infrastructure projects.
Overall, strategic capex aligns with project execution requirements and future opportunities like bullet train.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company expects revenue growth of around 15% CAGR for FY '24 and FY '25 on a year-on-year basis.
- Order inflow guidance for FY '24 is confident at over INR5,000 crores with existing L1 positions and strong bidding pipeline.
- The company has bid for projects worth over INR16,000 crores, including the high-speed railway (HSR) project with a share of INR6,200 crores.
- 54% of the current INR11,854 crore order book is from the metro sector, indicating continued focus and potential growth there.
- Expansion in scope of work and additional project awards like Dwarka Packages and HSR are expected to further boost revenues.
- Robust execution capabilities and asset base position the company well to maintain growth and margin profile in coming years.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Revenue growth is expected at around 15% year-on-year for FY '24 and FY '25.
- EBITDA margins are anticipated to remain stable in the range of 14% to 15%.
- PAT margin showed improvement to 6.5% in FY '23 from 5.8% in the previous year, indicating better profitability trends.
- ROE improved from 10.4% to 12.4% in FY '23; management aims for further improvement, targeting around 17-18% in a couple of years.
- ROCE increased from 15.2% to 17.6% in FY '23, reflecting better capital efficiency.
- Management confident in maintaining profitable growth with stable margins, supported by strong execution and robust order book (INR 11,854 crores as of March 2023).
- Company targets order awards exceeding INR 5,000 crores during FY '24 to sustain growth momentum.
- Expanded project scope and new awards expected to contribute to future earnings growth.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current order book stands at approximately INR11,800 crores as of May 2023.
- Around 54% of the order book is from the metro sector.
- Line 3 metro project has about INR70 crores remaining to be completed by year-end 2023.
- Mira Bhayandar Line 9 order is around INR1,000 crores out of INR2,000 crores; expected to complete in 1 to 1.5 years due to depot land shift.
- Order inflow for FY 2023 was approximately INR2,652 crores; company expects to bag over INR5,000 crores in new orders in FY 2024.
- Already bidded for projects worth INR12,000 crores and planning to bid for INR40,000+ crores in the current year (excluding the INR12,000 crores bidded).
- Currently L1 in two projects totaling around INR486 crores, with order awards expected in Q1 FY 2024.
- Additional large bids include INR16,000 crores High-Speed Rail (HSR) project and other metro, road tunneling jobs.
