Jagran Prakashan Ltd

Q2 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis

Media

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- There is no explicit mention of any current or future fundraising through debt or equity in the provided text. - The company is focused on maintaining a net cash positive position with about Rs. 300 Crores net cash as of June. - Borrowings had increased temporarily due to dividend distribution and buyback in the past, but interest costs are expected to reduce over time. - Management is cautious on acquisitions and cash allocation, weighing pros and cons when opportunities arise. - No plans to acquire properties in outdoor business; preference is on lease model with long-term leases and capex to upgrade sites. - Dividend and buyback remain preferred routes for capital allocation rather than fresh fundraising. - Overall, no indication of plans for new debt or equity raising based on current outlook.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Jagran Prakashan Limited follows a lease model for its outdoor advertising properties and does not intend to acquire properties currently, preferring long-term leases of 5-10 years. - The company plans to invest in upgrading leased outdoor sites by converting them into digital sites, where profit margins could improve from current levels (around 7%) to 10-18% over time. - Capex is primarily allocated towards digital transformation of outdoor advertising panels (e.g., metro tenders requiring digital panels). - For the next couple of years, the company does not plan to acquire new outdoor advertising assets but will invest in digital conversions once the macro environment improves. - The subsidiary company (Music Broadcast Limited) is pursuing strategic acquisition proposals in the radio space. - No immediate large-scale capital investments or acquisitions are indicated for the parent company, but opportunities may be evaluated given liquidity conditions in the market.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Local advertisement revenues for Dainik Jagran continue to grow, with state government spending picking up. - Central government and national revenues are still showing degrowth, but some recovery is expected, particularly with increased government infrastructure spending. - Future growth in auto advertising is anticipated due to clearing of old stock and new launches around the festive season. - Digital business is expected to grow at a mid-teen rate (15%-20%) consistently over the next three years. - Outdoor media margins are targeted to reach around 10% in the medium term by upgrading sites and converting to digital displays. - Circulation volumes will see very negligible increases; growth focus is on price realization and efficiency. - Overall advertising revenue recovery expected from August/September onward, supported by improving monsoon, better liquidity, and festive season demand. - The company remains optimistic about exiting the current downturn sooner rather than later with growth resuming.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Management expresses optimism about growth resuming sooner rather than later, expecting good times not far off (Page 18). - Target to achieve 10% margin in outdoor business this year, with potential increase to 15%-18% after converting sites to digital (Pages 17). - Local advertising revenues for Dainik Jagran continue to grow; state government spend picking up; central government and national revenue still degrowing but expected to improve (Pages 2, 16). - Despite Q1 challenges, initiatives helped contain degrowth to less than 2%; expectation of growth from August/September due to festive season and increased government spending (Pages 4, 16). - Digital business is growing mid-teens, considered an "incredible" growth given the peer context (Page 3, 5). - Radio business has stabilized and is expected to improve from bottoming out in July (Pages 4, 16). - FY20 newsprint cost savings expected to aid margins by Rs. 40-50 Crores (Page 14).
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The company does not provide specific numerical data on current or expected order book or pending orders. - Discussions and deal executions have increased in intensity, indicating a positive trend in business opportunities. - August and September are expected to see improvement due to the beginning of the festive season and increased government spending. - State government spending has started, contributing about 15% of the advertising category. - Central government spending, contributing about 20%-25%, is expected to start soon with investments leading to related advertisements. - The company bases its expectation on conversations and deals executed rather than fixed numerical forecasts. - While there is some optimistic thinking, expectations are grounded in realistic assessments.