Jagran Prakashan Ltd

Q3 FY17 Earnings Call Analysis

Media

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Norevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: No
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

The transcript from Jagran Prakashan Limited's Q2 FY2018 conference call does not mention any plans for current or future fundraising through debt or equity. Key points: - No discussion or indication of new debt or equity fund-raising activities. - Focus remains on organic growth and improving operating profits. - They completed a significant buyback of Rs. 302 Crores during H1, suggesting capital return to shareholders rather than fund raising. - Expansion plans mentioned are primarily organic (e.g., circulation growth), not through capital raising. - No mention of acquisitions requiring new fundraising, except some radio acquisition plans without specifics on funding source. Overall, there is no explicit mention of any immediate or planned future fundraising through debt or equity in the call.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

The transcript from the Jagran Prakashan Limited Q2 FY2018 conference call does not explicitly mention any specific current or future capex (capital expenditure), capital investments, or strategic investments plans. However, key points related to business development include: - Focus on digital growth with a strategy to become a significant player in the digital segment targeting a 20%-25% CAGR over the next five years. - Investment emphasis on evolving digital products suitable for different audience segments rather than just e-paper versions. - No plans for entry into new states for print business; inorganic growth like acquisitions mentioned only for Radio segment. - Commitment to improving operating profits and shareholder returns with buybacks and dividends executed. - Discussions around operational expansion like circulation increases in specific states (e.g., Bihar, UP, MP). No direct mention or detailed guidance on capital expenditure or strategic investments beyond these operational and segment focuses.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company expects circulation growth to be comfortable at 2% to 3% annually over the next 3-5 years, with potential to grow up to 7%-8% if unleashed (Page 15). - For advertisement revenue, there is a belief that after November 8, in the next 50 days, growth of about 8%-10% is expected despite subdued government ad spend (Page 16). - Digital revenue is growing fast (~40%) and expected to continue to grow at a CAGR of around 20%-25% over the next five years, focusing on four audience segments with differentiated content strategies (Pages 14 and 5). - Circulation growth during the quarter was about 4.5% in Bihar and UP, with growth also targeted in MP (Page 5). - Advertisement revenue growth in difficult times was about 2%-2.5% for Nai Dunia (Page 6). - Overall ad spend growth is expected to stabilize as GST effects settle, enabling operating profit growth of 15% if ad revenue grows 6%-7% (Page 12).
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company expects about 8% to 10% revenue growth in the next 50 days after November 8, 2017, despite subdued government ad spend (Shailesh Gupta, Page 16). - Operating profit growth of about 15% is anticipated if revenue grows by 6% to 7% (R.K. Aggarwal, Page 12). - Margin is expected to improve from Q2 levels, though not necessarily to previous highs of 30-34%; Q3 and Q4 margins should be better than Q2 (R.K. Aggarwal, Page 12). - Digital business expected to grow at a CAGR of around 20%-25% over the next five years but its overall significance on company profits is still uncertain (Apurva Purohit, Page 14). - Circulation growth of 2%-3% is sustainable and profitable over the next 3 to 5 years (R.K. Aggarwal, Page 15). - Full-year EBITDA growth guidance of 10%-15% is considered difficult due to GST impact but maintaining Q2 margin levels in H2 is possible (R.K. Aggarwal, Pages 6, 7, 12).
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Advertisers typically do not release advertisements much in advance. - Despite this, current trends indicate no problem in achieving growth in the next 50 days post-November 8, 2017. - The company is confident about an 8% to 10% growth in revenue in these next 50 days despite subdued government ad spend. - There is an implication of some order backlog as full-page ads are coming repeatedly from different companies, but detailed specifics are not shared.