Jai Balaji Industries Ltd

Q4 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Ferrous Metals

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 1orderbook: No information
💰

fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Jai Balaji Industries Limited does not envisage raising any term loans or debt to finance its CAPEX plans. - The planned capacity expansions will be funded entirely through internal accruals. - The company aims to become net debt free within the next 18 months. - Current debt is around ₹560 crores with repayment terms of about 36 months on recent Tata Financial loans. - Strong and improving EBITDA and cash flows support the company's ability to service debt and fund expansions internally. - No mention of any planned equity fundraising in the presented information.
🏗️

capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Total expected CAPEX is around Rs. 1,000 crores (Rs. 10,000 million), fully funded through internal accruals. - Rs. 380.8 crores has already been incurred; the balance will be spent over the next 18 months. - DI Pipes capacity to increase from 2.4 lakh tons to 6.6 lakh tons in two phases (already enhanced to 3 lakh tons). - Specialized ferroalloys capacity planned to increase to 1.9 lakh tons from 1.3 lakh tons, with 36,000 tons additional capacity commissioning by FY24 and remainder by FY25. - Revamp of existing blast furnaces to increase hot metal capacity from 5 lakh tons to 7.5 lakh tons. - Setting up of a 6 lakh ton iron ore beneficiation plant. - Installation of a 35 tons BFG boiler. - Capacity expansions expected to achieve ~90% utilization with margin improvements and higher EBITDA.
📊

revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- FY25: Full commissioning of expansion in DI pipes and ferroalloys expected. - FY26: Revenue potential projected at Rs. 9,500 to 10,000 crores at current prices with 90-95% capacity utilization. - DI pipes capacity to increase from 2.4 lakh tons to 6.6 lakh tons; target 90% utilization by FY26. - Ferroalloy capacity expanding from 1.3 lakh tons to 1.9 lakh tons, expecting ~75% utilization in FY25. - Focus on increasing exports: DI pipes exports to rise from 2% to 10% turnover in 24 months; ferroalloys exports from 40% toward 50% by year-end. - Targeting sustainable EBITDA margins of 18-20% by FY26, driven by higher value-added products and operational efficiencies. - Market growth expected at 13-15% CAGR, with historical growth exceeding 18-20% in some years. - Large domestic demand fueled by schemes like Jal Jeevan Mission, AMRUT, and irrigation projects; expansion to African and Middle East export markets ongoing.
📈

margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Jai Balaji Industries aims to expand DI pipes capacity by 175% to 6.6 lakh tons and ferroalloys by 46% to 1.9 lakh tons, targeting up to 90% utilization. - Revenue for FY26 expected at ₹9,500-10,000 crore at current prices, assuming stable realizations. - EBITDA margins projected to improve to 18%-20% by FY26, up from 15% in 9 months FY24, driven by higher value-added products and operational efficiencies. - PAT for 9 months FY24 surged 756%; Q3 EBITDA rose 96% YoY, indicating robust profitability growth. - Target to become net debt free within 18 months, strengthening financial health and supporting growth. - Export contribution to ferroalloys expected to increase to 50% by year-end, enhancing margins. - Ramp-up in capacity and improved product mix expected to drive quarter-on-quarter revenue growth, with a 20% QoQ increase anticipated in Q4 FY24. - Cost-cutting and economies of scale expected to further support margin expansion.
📋

orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Jai Balaji Industries Limited maintains order books for DI pipes and ferroalloys. - The current DI pipe order book is approximately ₹1,800 to ₹2,000 crores. - The ferroalloys order book stands at around ₹400 crores. - There is strong demand with large orders in hand, especially in ferroalloys. - Some production in ferroalloys was affected due to furnace maintenance, but supply is expected to improve in the upcoming quarters.