Jindal Saw Ltd

Q2 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Industrial Products

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- There is no mention of any current plans for raising new debt or equity in the near term. - The company has reduced its long-term debt significantly and currently carries less than INR600 crores of long-term debt, mostly LIC bonds repayable in 2028-2030. - Working capital borrowings have increased due to slow collections but the company expects improvement. - No new capacity expansions via organic or inorganic routes (which could include capital raising) are planned in the pipes segment currently; only acquisitions are done previously. - The company is investing in overseas projects (seamless pipe plant in Abu Dhabi, helical pipe plant, and DI facility in Saudi Arabia), but these are in early stages with no concrete capital expenditure or fundraising details disclosed yet. - Overall, they indicate sufficient working capital lines are available for operations and to support higher turnover. Summary: No explicit current or near-term fundraising through debt or equity is planned or announced.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Jindal Saw is setting up new manufacturing capacities in the GCC and MENA regions, specifically: - A seamless pipe manufacturing plant in Abu Dhabi (UAE), expected to take about 3 years. - A helical pipe plant in Saudi Arabia, expected to take about 2 years. - A ductile iron (DI) pipe facility in Saudi Arabia, expected to take about 1.5 years. - These new projects aim to diversify geographic presence and align with regional economic diversification plans, especially in oil-dependent Gulf countries moving towards local manufacturing. - The company has begun ground preparations such as incorporating companies and doing corporate groundwork but has not broken ground yet. - Expected profitability in these new capacities is likely better than current India operations, although detailed revenue and payback projections are not available at this early stage. - Capex will be strategically timed as per market and raw material prices, making exact payback or peak revenue estimates challenging now.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Robust order book exceeding 1.8 million tons, indicating strong volume visibility. - Expect volume growth driven by ramp-up post blast furnace maintenance and improved execution. - Supportive environment and smoother cash flow expected to accelerate order execution, particularly in water sector. - New capacities in UAE and Saudi Arabia (seamless, helical, ductile pipe plants) to start contributing in 2-3 years, enhancing future growth. - Export markets, especially GCC and MENA, offer diversification and potential for improved profitability. - Despite short-term challenges (funding delays in water sector), management optimistic about matching or exceeding past sales volumes (e.g., 680,000 tons ductile pipe in prior year). - Volume growth backed by competitive pricing tied to current raw material costs, with average profitability maintained. - Strategic focus on value addition and cost optimization to support EBITDA growth alongside volume increase.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company expects volume growth supported by a robust order book exceeding 1.8 million tons, with potential to improve performance in the next three quarters if the environment remains supportive. - New capex projects in GCC and MENA regions (seamless, helical, and DI pipe plants) will contribute to growth but are expected to become operational in 2-3 years, implying near-term growth will be organic. - EBITDA margins remain strong (~16%+), better than 2-3 years ago, despite lower raw material prices and scheduled shutdowns. - Profitability improvement is expected via ongoing cost optimization initiatives, such as installing a waste-based power plant to reduce coke and power costs. - Performance and earnings growth depend significantly on improvement in funding and cash flow in the water sector, which constitutes ~60% of the business. - Government and industry engagement towards resolving funding issues is expected to improve execution and sales traction soon. - Overall, near-term growth is likely steady but improving after short-term challenges, with meaningful earnings expansion expected as international projects become operational in 2-3 years.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- As of June 2025, Jindal Saw Limited has a robust order book of approximately 1.56 million tons. - Including Letters of Intent (LOIs) for ductile pipes amounting to 265,000 tons, the total effective order book exceeds 1.8 million tons, approaching 1.9 million tons. - The order book value is around $1.5 billion. - The company is practically booked for the next 3 quarters, and for ductile iron pipes, the booking extends to almost 1 year. - The UAE operations have an order book close to $270 million, covering nearly one year of orders. - Export orders deferred in Q1 2025 account for about 20,000 tons (one shipment). - The company can ramp up production quickly if the funding environment improves and customer payment schedules normalize.