JSW Energy Ltd

Q3 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis

Power

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Power demand is showing robust growth, with 13% growth in H1 FY2022 and peak demand reaching 200 GW in July, supporting volume growth. - Total generation increased by 2%, thermal generation by 4%, while hydro slightly declined by 1%. - Merchant market sales surged 116%, contributing to a 10% rise in EBITDA to ₹1080 Cr in Q2 FY2022. - Profit after tax stood at ₹339 Cr, adjusted PAT at ₹414 Cr, and profit before tax grew 24% to ₹604 Cr. - Receivables are declining (19% YoY), and net debt reduced slightly, supporting financial health. - Power shortage and capacity constraints may keep merchant prices elevated, aiding future earnings. - Investment focus shifting to renewables and green energy, with new projects like hydro pump storage and lithium-ion battery storage pipeline. - No new thermal capacity expected; growth driven by renewable capacity additions and long-term PPAs. - Overall, earnings growth is expected to be driven by demand growth, higher merchant sales, and renewable capacity expansion.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

The transcript from the JSW Energy Limited Q2 FY2022 earnings call does not explicitly mention a specific current or expected orderbook or pending orders in exact figures. However, relevant insights related to projects and capacity include: - JSW Energy has signed an MOU with the Government of Maharashtra for a 1500 MW hydro pump storage project, currently in early stages (environment clearance, land acquisition). - The company is developing a pipeline of intermittency solutions including lithium-ion battery storage and hydro pump storage. - JSW is focused on securing resources, land, connectivity, and clearances prior to bid participation to ensure timely project execution (commissioning turnaround in few months). - Hydro pump storage and renewable projects are aimed at addressing grid intermittency and round-the-clock green power supply. - No detailed orderbook numbers or pending contracts were disclosed; focus is on strategic capacity tie-ups and long-term PPAs rather than merchant market exposure. Thus, while ongoing projects and MOUs exist, specific orderbook or pending order values are not provided.
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

The transcript does not explicitly mention any current or future plans for fundraising through debt or equity. However, some relevant points include: - New projects, including renewable and hydro pump storage initiatives, are underway with MOUs and land acquisition in progress, which may imply future capital needs. - Reorganization of grey and green energy businesses is underway, with legal, tax, and financial advisors involved; a scheme will be presented to the board soon, suggesting potential structural or funding steps. - No direct statements about raising debt or equity in the near term. - Merchant capacity is expected to reduce as capacities get tied up via long-term PPAs, which might affect funding strategies, but no specific fundraising mentioned. - Emphasis that no new thermal capacity is being built without a PPA, implying funding linked to contract signings. In summary, no direct announcements regarding debt or equity fundraising were made on this call.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- JSW Energy is focusing on developing intermittency solutions including lithium-ion battery storage and hydro pump storage projects. - Signed an MOU with the Government of Maharashtra for a 1500 MW hydro pump storage project; currently working on environment clearance and land acquisition. - Planning to build grid-stabilizing projects to address renewable capacity intermittency; individual projects being less economically viable than grid solutions. - Reorganizing grey (thermal) and green (renewable and new energy initiatives like hydrogen) energy businesses; a final scheme is expected soon. - No new thermal capacity investments are planned; all incremental capacity investments will be in renewable energy. - Large-scale renewable capacity addition target: at least 35,000 MW per year needed to meet increasing demand. - Execution of projects expedited post securing bids, focusing on swift turnaround once resources, land, and clearances are in place.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

Future growth expectations of JSW Energy Limited based on the call transcript include: - Power demand showed robust growth: 13% in H1 FY2022, with quarter two up by 9.9%. Peak power demand touched 200 GW in July 2021. - Merchant volume increased by 22% nationally; JSW Energy's net generation increased by 2%. - Expectation of continued power shortage due to insufficient investment in thermal capacity leading to increased merchant prices. - Renewable capacity addition needed at 35,000 MW per year to meet rising demand; current additions (~10 GW) lag behind demand growth (~10 GW per year). - Long-term PPAs likely to grow as DISCOMs absorb residual merchant capacity; new capacity to come mainly from renewables. - Focus on green energy expansion including hydro pump storage (1500 MW project MOU signed in Maharashtra), lithium-ion battery storage, and green hydrogen. - Merchant market volumes may reduce as capacity is tied up with PPAs, shifting towards long-term contracts. - Anticipate growth driven by renewables and storage solutions aligned with grid stability needs. Overall, JSW expects steady volume and revenue growth driven largely by renewable energy and medium- to long-term capacity tie-ups.