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JTL Industries LtdQ3 FY23

JTL Industries Ltd Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 77.5P/E: 38.7Market Cap: ₹3.0K CrSector: Industrial Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • Volume growth is expected to surge by approximately 30% in H2 FY24 compared to H1, targeting a total volume of 330,000 to 350,000 tonnes for the full year.
  • The company aims to reach a total manufacturing capacity of 1 million tonnes by FY25 through a 4 lakh-tonne expansion (2 lakh each in Mangaon and Raipur).
  • Sales per tonne and EBITDA per tonne are anticipated to rise, driven by increased share of value-added products (VAP) and introduction of DFT technology.
  • Revenue growth is aligned with volume increase, although realization per tonne is dependent on fluctuating HRC steel prices.
  • The company plans to maintain government project sales at around 24%, with expansion in other segments like EPC and exports.
  • Beyond 1 million tonnes capacity, organic growth options exist given ample land bank; formal announcements on further expansion are pending.
  • Demand is strong with no foreseeable supply gap, supported by infrastructure projects and new ERW pipe applications.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • JTL Industries expects continued volume growth of approximately 30% in H2 FY24 over H1, targeting 330,000 to 350,000 tonnes for the full year.
  • EBITDA per tonne is projected to improve, aiming around Rs. 5,000 for the full year FY24, up from Rs. 4,600 in H1, driven by increased share of value-added products (VAP) and introduction of DFT technology.
  • Expansion plans include increasing total manufacturing capacity to 1 million tonnes by FY25 with 4 lakh tonnes of additions, including 2 lakh tonnes via DFT for efficiency and product range enhancement.
  • Demand growth is strong (>10% annually), with no expected slowdown; capacity ramp-up is focused on meeting robust and growing steel market demand.
  • Operating margins are expected to remain stable or improve due to better cost management, working capital efficiency, and growing exports (targeting 15% international sales).
  • Overall earnings and profits are anticipated to grow in line with volume and margin expansion supported by capacity additions and product mix improvement.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company has raised Rs. 384 crores via allotment of fully convertible warrants to support expansion.
  • Rs. 70 crores of the Rs. 320 crores planned CAPEX for capacity ramp-up has already been infused this year through promoter contribution.
  • The remaining Rs. 250 crores for CAPEX is pending and will be deployed in a phased manner over the coming years.
  • There is no mention of any current or future plans for raising new debt; short-term borrowings have increased slightly only due to working capital needs.
  • Management emphasized reduction in working capital cycle and inventory days to manage cash flows effectively.
  • No hedging strategies or new debt fundraising plans were indicated.
  • Long-term growth and capacity expansions are planned to be funded primarily through internal accruals and promoter contributions with organic growth strategy.

Order book

  • The company aims to maintain the government project sales proportion at around 24%, primarily catered by the Dera Bassi plant in Punjab.
  • There is no intention to increase government sector share; other plants focus on EPC players and exports.
  • No additional capacity expansion is planned for the Punjab unit handling government orders.
  • Volumes for the full year FY24 are targeted between 3.2 lakh to 3.5 lakh tonnes, reflecting a 30%-35% year-on-year growth.
  • Demand outlook is optimistic for H2 FY24, with the expectation of better execution and increased volumes compared to H1.
  • Management’s guidance reflects volume growth driven by strong demand from government and infra projects, with a stable order pipeline, particularly in government and EPC sectors.

Capex plans

Yes
  • JTL Industries is undertaking a major capacity expansion from 6 lakh tonnes to 10 lakh tonnes.
  • Total planned CAPEX is approximately Rs. 320-350 crores.
  • Rs. 70 crores has already been infused by promoters in the current year; the remaining Rs. 250-280 crores will be spent in a phased manner over the next 1-2 years.
  • Expansion includes adding 2 lakh tonnes of DFT technology capacity, which is a value-added, efficient process reducing roll change time.
  • Additional 2 lakh tonnes of traditional ERW pipe manufacturing capacity is also being added at Mangaon and Raipur plants.
  • The DFT plant is expected to be operational from the next financial year and will increase capacity utilization to around 75-80%.
  • No further capacity addition planned at the Dera Bassi plant, which caters mainly to government projects.
  • Land banks available for future organic expansions: 110+ acres at Mangaon (only 15-20% utilized) and 35 acres at Raipur (about 50% utilized).
  • Future plans for scaling beyond 1 million tonne are under consideration but not formally announced yet.

How does JTL Industries Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Products?

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