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Kalyani Forge LtdQ4 FY27

Kalyani Forge Ltd Q4 FY27 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 613P/E: 38.7Market Cap: ₹220 CrSector: Industrial Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 4

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 4
  • The company aims to productionize new business worth around ₹30 crores in FY26, a significant jump from previous years.
  • Installed capacity can theoretically generate revenues up to ₹500 crores, with current revenues at 3.5 times net fixed assets. CAPEX plans aim to increase fixed assets, enabling this growth.
  • Focus on new growth areas like driveline and axle, with ₹45 crores and ₹10 crores new business order book respectively, showing strong potential beyond the core engine segment.
  • Business mix optimization and pruning of non-core, low-margin businesses aim to improve scalability and long-term margin stability, enabling faster growth.
  • Seasonality affects demand across segments but diversification across passenger cars, trucks, construction, and agriculture provides hedging.
  • Strategic investments in forging and machining capacity upgrades target increased production output and value addition.
  • Strong emphasis on customer quality upgrade and new business order inflow to sustain profitable volume growth.

Margin guidance

Category 2
  • EBITDA margin target: Medium-term goal to achieve at least 15%, with a longer-term milestone of around 20%. Current priority is stabilizing at ~15.7%, with 20% within sight but no specific timeframe given.
  • PAT margin improvement driven by EBITDA margin expansion, price improvements, optimized depreciation, and better interest cost management.
  • New business productionizing target: Rs. 30 crores in FY26, expected to provide a good jump versus previous years.
  • Revenue for FY26 expected to be around the same or slightly higher compared to last year; EBITDA margin expected to improve year-on-year.
  • Capacity expansion underway to support revenue growth, aiming for installed capacity to produce up to Rs. 500 crores in revenue eventually.
  • Seasonality and diverse product segments provide hedging benefits; long-term trends favor automotive premiumization and market growth.
  • Strong operational reset and continuous improvement underway to sustain margin improvements and growth.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company has both debt and equity fundraising options under consideration and is keeping both options open.
  • Timing of debt and equity raises will be different, so the company is evaluating them in parallel.
  • The fundraising is aligned with the capital expenditure (CAPEX) strategy focused on growth, particularly for upgrading assets and expanding capacity.
  • The company plans to increase fixed assets to support growth, reduce working capital debt, and increase long-term debt for a healthier funding mix.
  • No specific timeline or amount has been disclosed for the fundraising activities.

Order book

Yes
  • The new business order book value is around ₹162 crores, comprising:
  • - ₹107 crores from connecting rods (core engine business)
  • - ₹45 crores from driveline segment
  • - ₹10 crores from axle segment
  • New growth areas like driveline and axle represent multiples of existing business in those segments.
  • New business includes ramp-up of xEV driveline programs and new MNC customer orders in the axle segment.
  • The company is focusing on increasing vehicle and customer share of wallet by offering engine, driveline, and axle components.
  • Older low-margin and unrelated businesses are being pruned to focus on strategic growth areas.
  • Productionizing around ₹30 crores worth of new projects in the current financial year, with ₹20 crore roughly done in the first nine months.

Capex plans

Yes
  • FY26 CapEx budget is ₹25 crores.
  • Approximately 60% of CapEx allocated to future growth areas: driveline and axle segments.
  • Remaining 40% focused on the engine product group, which is experiencing significant growth.
  • About ₹7.6 crores of the CapEx budget is dedicated to reconditioning forging presses, primarily to increase production output for new driveline and engine business.
  • Emphasis on upgrading asset base to improve productivity, quality, and reduce rejections.
  • Goal to productionize ₹30 crores of new business in FY26.
  • Focused on quick turnaround for CapEx projects to start generating returns rapidly.
  • Strategic investments aim to increase installed capacity towards ₹500 crores revenue potential by expanding and capitalizing fixed assets.
  • Also, maintaining flexibility in funding options with both debt and equity planned for CapEx.

How does Kalyani Forge Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Products?

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1Kalyani Forge Ltd
Rev 4Mar 2

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