Kalyani Forge
Q4 FY27 Earnings Call Analysis
Industrial Products
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 2orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The company has both debt and equity fundraising options under consideration and is keeping both options open.
- Timing of debt and equity raises will be different, so the company is evaluating them in parallel.
- The fundraising is aligned with the capital expenditure (CAPEX) strategy focused on growth, particularly for upgrading assets and expanding capacity.
- The company plans to increase fixed assets to support growth, reduce working capital debt, and increase long-term debt for a healthier funding mix.
- No specific timeline or amount has been disclosed for the fundraising activities.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- FY26 CapEx budget is ₹25 crores.
- Approximately 60% of CapEx allocated to future growth areas: driveline and axle segments.
- Remaining 40% focused on the engine product group, which is experiencing significant growth.
- About ₹7.6 crores of the CapEx budget is dedicated to reconditioning forging presses, primarily to increase production output for new driveline and engine business.
- Emphasis on upgrading asset base to improve productivity, quality, and reduce rejections.
- Goal to productionize ₹30 crores of new business in FY26.
- Focused on quick turnaround for CapEx projects to start generating returns rapidly.
- Strategic investments aim to increase installed capacity towards ₹500 crores revenue potential by expanding and capitalizing fixed assets.
- Also, maintaining flexibility in funding options with both debt and equity planned for CapEx.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company aims to productionize new business worth around ₹30 crores in FY26, a significant jump from previous years.
- Installed capacity can theoretically generate revenues up to ₹500 crores, with current revenues at 3.5 times net fixed assets. CAPEX plans aim to increase fixed assets, enabling this growth.
- Focus on new growth areas like driveline and axle, with ₹45 crores and ₹10 crores new business order book respectively, showing strong potential beyond the core engine segment.
- Business mix optimization and pruning of non-core, low-margin businesses aim to improve scalability and long-term margin stability, enabling faster growth.
- Seasonality affects demand across segments but diversification across passenger cars, trucks, construction, and agriculture provides hedging.
- Strategic investments in forging and machining capacity upgrades target increased production output and value addition.
- Strong emphasis on customer quality upgrade and new business order inflow to sustain profitable volume growth.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- EBITDA margin target: Medium-term goal to achieve at least 15%, with a longer-term milestone of around 20%. Current priority is stabilizing at ~15.7%, with 20% within sight but no specific timeframe given.
- PAT margin improvement driven by EBITDA margin expansion, price improvements, optimized depreciation, and better interest cost management.
- New business productionizing target: Rs. 30 crores in FY26, expected to provide a good jump versus previous years.
- Revenue for FY26 expected to be around the same or slightly higher compared to last year; EBITDA margin expected to improve year-on-year.
- Capacity expansion underway to support revenue growth, aiming for installed capacity to produce up to Rs. 500 crores in revenue eventually.
- Seasonality and diverse product segments provide hedging benefits; long-term trends favor automotive premiumization and market growth.
- Strong operational reset and continuous improvement underway to sustain margin improvements and growth.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The new business order book value is around ₹162 crores, comprising:
- ₹107 crores from connecting rods (core engine business)
- ₹45 crores from driveline segment
- ₹10 crores from axle segment
- New growth areas like driveline and axle represent multiples of existing business in those segments.
- New business includes ramp-up of xEV driveline programs and new MNC customer orders in the axle segment.
- The company is focusing on increasing vehicle and customer share of wallet by offering engine, driveline, and axle components.
- Older low-margin and unrelated businesses are being pruned to focus on strategic growth areas.
- Productionizing around ₹30 crores worth of new projects in the current financial year, with ₹20 crore roughly done in the first nine months.
