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KEI Industries LtdQ3 FY23

KEI Industries Ltd Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 5,500P/E: 53.3Market Cap: ₹48.9K CrSector: Industrial Products

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

No

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 4 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • KEI Industries targets a **16% to 18% CAGR growth** over the next 10 to 15 years, focusing on a disciplined and sustainable model.
  • Capacity expansions:
  • - Brownfield expansions at Chinchpada and Silvassa increasing capacity by ~INR2,000 crores by end of FY.
  • - New Greenfield plant at Sanand expected to commence operation in Q4 FY 24-25.
  • - Additional capex of INR300-350 crores planned annually for next 2-3 years to maintain growth.
  • Export sales growing steadily with a target to increase exports to **15%-17% of total sales**.
  • Domestic market growth:
  • - Institutional cable business to grow steadily around 12%-13%.
  • - House wire segment targeting 20%-25% growth due to increased geography and retailer reach.
  • EHV cable segment capacity of INR550-600 crores will be fully utilized, but growth to be maintained within 16%-18% range to avoid debt.
  • Overall, the company aims for stable, balanced growth across domestic, export, and dealer segments to mitigate risk.

Margin guidance

Category 2
  • KEI Industries aims for a **16% to 18% growth** per annum over the next 5-7 years in sales and earnings, driven by capacity expansions and disciplined capital allocation.
  • The company plans to maintain **debt-free operations** by using internal accruals for growth investments.
  • Capex of about **INR 500 crores for FY24**, with continued investments in Greenfield and Brownfield projects, supports capacity enhancement for sustained growth.
  • EBITDA margins expected to stabilize around **10.75% to 11%** due to a favorable product mix and operating leverage.
  • Export growth and increased sales in the high-margin **EHV cable segment** (currently at 15% EBITDA margin) will contribute positively.
  • Overall, the company expects a **healthy trend in profits and EPS**, aligned with its targeted revenue growth and margin profile.

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Fundraise plans

No
  • KEI Industries is focused on growing in a disciplined manner using internal resource generation.
  • The company aims to remain largely debt-free over time.
  • Current capex is funded through internal accruals, with no mention of new debt or equity fundraising.
  • Growth guidance (16%-18% CAGR) is planned without increasing debt.
  • Rajeev Gupta highlighted that increasing growth beyond this may necessitate debt, which they want to avoid.
  • Brownfield and Greenfield capex are being financed internally; no fundraising from external debt or equity indicated.

Order book

  • Total order book position stands at INR 3,363 crores.
  • Breakdown of order book:
  • - EPC division: INR 804 crores
  • - Extra High Voltage (EHV) power cable (including some EPC portion): INR 725 crores
  • - Domestic cable orders: INR 1,548 crores
  • - Export orders: INR 286 crores
  • Domestic institutional sales constitute 27% of sales.
  • Export sales constitute 15% of sales.
  • Dealer/distributor sales contribute 47%.
  • Extra high-voltage power cable also contributes about 6% to B2B sales.

Capex plans

Yes
  • FY '24 Greenfield capex at Sanand project: INR300 crores this year, INR400 crores next year, INR300 crores in FY '25-'26.
  • FY '24 Brownfield capex: INR48 crores incurred in 1H and INR150 crores planned in 2H at Bhiwadi, Pathredi, Chinchpada, and Silvassa plants.
  • Total estimated capex for FY '24: Approximately INR500 crores (including land value).
  • Increased Brownfield capex at Chinchpada plant from planned INR45-50 crores to INR110 crores to add INR800-900 crores capacity.
  • Pathredi plant Brownfield expansion with INR110 crores capex adding INR800-900 crores capacity, operational Q1 FY '24-25.
  • Sanand Greenfield project: Commercial production expected Q4 FY '24-25.
  • Focus on disciplined growth, mainly debt-free, to maintain steady CAGR growth of 15-16%.

How does KEI Industries Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Products?

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1KEI Industries Ltd
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