Kirloskar Ferrous Industries LtdQ3 FY25

Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd Q3 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 436P/E: 19.5Market Cap: ₹7.6K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Casting volumes expected to grow steadily, aiming to reach 2,50,000 tons in 3-4 years from current ~1,50,000 tons, growing ~20,000 to 25,000 tons annually.
  • New customers and components being added regularly, especially with Oliver foundry ramping up; one large volume customer expected from January.
  • Sales growth in castings seen with 17% increase over last year’s quarter; positive outlook on casting volume growth driven by Solapur Line 2 and Oliver foundry.
  • Tubes production increased but sales slightly impacted due to merger-related account issues and dumping pressures; demand remains but pricing under pressure.
  • Steel volumes relatively flat but showing increase compared to previous year; prices stable but under margin pressure.
  • Pig iron volumes stable with long-term shift towards value-added products anticipated; volume growth depends on steel activity pickup.
  • Capex of ~INR 500 crores/year ongoing to support growth and efficiency improvement projects.

Margin guidance

Category 2
  • Capacity Utilization: Current foundry capacity at Oliver is underutilized; full capacity of 2,50,000 tons expected to be reached in 3-4 years by increasing volume ~20,000-25,000 tons per year.
  • Volume Growth: Casting volumes expected to reach close to 200,000 tons next year with ramp-up from Oliver foundry and Solapur Line 2.
  • Machining Expansion: Adding 50 machines this year to generate INR 40-50 crores in machining business; expected to contribute significantly to topline and margins in coming years.
  • Margin Improvement: Projects like oxygen management and pulverized coal injection (PCI) with oxygen enrichment to be commissioned by mid-November, expected to reduce power and fuel costs over next quarters.
  • Coal Price Relief: Full benefit of recent coal price reduction anticipated from this quarter, positively impacting margins.
  • Capex: Annual capex of around INR 500 crores planned focusing on value-added products and efficiency projects.
  • Earnings Growth: Steady volume growth, capacity ramp-up, and efficiency projects expected to drive improvement in operating profits and EPS over next 2-3 years.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • Kirloskar Ferrous Industries plans to continue investing around INR 500 crores per year in capex, including projects related to PCI, solar power, and iron ore mines.
  • The company is cautious about leverage and is trying not to overstretch itself on debt.
  • There is no explicit mention of any immediate or planned new fundraising through debt or equity in the call.
  • The management emphasized cash generation and loan servicing to support ongoing and planned investments.
  • They are focused on scaling projects gradually and managing operational efficiencies without increasing leverage excessively.

Order book

  • Kirloskar Ferrous Industries expects a consistent order inflow of about INR 500 crores per year.
  • A significant upcoming project on a steel plant is approved, valued between INR 600 crores to INR 800 crores, spanning 2 years.
  • Several projects lined up for the next 2 years are already known and discussed with stakeholders.
  • The company is focusing on ramping up capacity and meeting customer demands, with Oliver foundry and Solapur Line 2 contributing to volume growth.
  • New large volume customers are expected onboard starting January, leading to improved capacity utilization and order pickup.
  • Emphasis on quality capacity creation across medium to large castings aligned with customer requirements.
  • Despite delays in some projects due to land acquisition and right-of-way issues, progress is ongoing, especially on power and mining fronts.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Kirloskar Ferrous Industries is planning ongoing capital expenditure of around INR 500 crores per year.
  • Current projects include Phase 2 of the Solapur foundry and expansion at Oliver Engineering foundry.
  • Large casting foundry expansion with an estimated capex of about INR 100 crores to improve quality and cost efficiency at Hiriyur.
  • A major steel plant project is in the pipeline, projected to be a 2-year project with a capex of INR 600 to 800 crores.
  • Investment in machining capacity with about 50 new HMC machines this year, costing approximately INR 100 crores, aiming to generate INR 40 to 50 crores in machining business.
  • Renewable energy investments include a 70 MW solar power plant expected to be commissioned by November 2024, aiming to increase to 100 MW by March 2025.
  • Plans to add 12 to 15 MW wind power capacity.
  • Focus on operational efficiency projects like pulverized coal injection with oxygen enrichment.

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1Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd
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