Knowledge Marine & Engineering Works Ltd

Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Engineering Services

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- For FY24, KMEW plans a capex of about INR 60 crores. - This capex will be financed through a mix of internal accruals and debt raising. - No current plans to raise equity for capex or other purposes; management prefers raising debt as it is cheaper than equity. - The company aims to remain net debt-free by aligning existing debt facilities with specific contracts for timely repayment before contract completion. - For future vessel acquisition in Bahrain, if needed, the company intends to raise debt to fund additional vessels. - No mention of imminent equity fundraising; focus remains on using debt and internal funds for expansion.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Completed capex of approximately USD 5 million in H1 FY24, primarily for a vessel destined for Bahrain operations. - Planned additional capex of around INR 60 crores (~USD 7.3 million) for the next year. - This upcoming capex will be a mix of constructing three vessels for two orders and acquiring additional vessels for upcoming contracts. - Funding sources for capex will be internal accruals and potential debt raising. - For the Bahrain contract, initial vessel cost was about USD 5 million; additional vessels (second and third) would be similarly priced. - Capex strategy involves aligning debt facilities with specific contracts for timely repayment. - No current plans require raising equity for capex; preference is to raise debt if funding is necessary.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Current order book stands at INR 650+ crores with a pipeline exceeding INR 1,300 crores, indicating robust future opportunities. - Revenue for FY24 expected to grow higher than the previous year; exact figures to be disclosed later. - EBITDA margins projected between 30% to 40% consistently going forward. - Aim to capture about 10% market share in the dredging business within 3-4 years. - Growth driven by expanding projects in India and international markets like Bahrain and Myanmar. - Recurring business constitutes 100% of current revenue, emphasizing stability. - Planned capex of about INR 60 crores focused on vessel acquisitions and construction, supporting capacity expansion. - Vessel utilization expected around 290-300 days annually, maximizing operational efficiency. - Increasing order wins from government projects and strategic bids expected to drive steady revenue scaling through FY25 and FY26.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company projects EBITDA margins between 30% to 40% going forward, maintaining strong profitability. - H1 FY24 showed a 4% year-on-year increase in EBITDA margin and 3% growth in PAT, reflecting stable earnings growth. - Revenue for FY24 is expected to grow higher than FY23, indicating positive future sales momentum. - Strong order book of INR 650 crores with a robust bid pipeline of INR 1,300+ crores supports growth prospects. - Expansion into international markets like Bahrain and Myanmar is expected to drive increased revenues and margin enhancement. - The company expects steady order inflows, but timelines depend on government approvals. - Capital dredging has higher margins than maintenance dredging, signaling potential margin improvement as project mix changes. - Focus on recurring contracts underpins stable cash flows and earnings visibility. - The company aims to capture at least 10% market share in dredging within 3-4 years, supporting revenue growth and earnings expansion.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Current order book stands at INR 670 crores with average tenure of 3-4 years. - Recent order wins include INR 573 crores, with a pipeline exceeding INR 1,300 crores as of late November 2023. - In the last week before the call, an additional bid of INR 210 crores was added to the pipeline, taking it beyond INR 1,300 crores. - Out of INR 1,100 crores bid pipeline mentioned earlier, approx. INR 450 crores have translated into business. - Remaining orders, including Inland Waterway and sand mining projects with government, are under consideration and yet to be finalized. - The company targets to convert a significant portion of this pipeline into confirmed orders but timelines depend on government approvals. - Order execution and revenue growth expected in FY24 and beyond, with steady EBITDA margins of 30-40%.