Krishca Strapp.
Q3 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Industrial Products
revenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Nofundraise: Yescapex: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Currently, Krishca Strapping Solutions has no plans for significant new equity dilution in the near future.
- The company is confident that the revenues from the new cold rolling mill and internal accruals will sufficiently fund upcoming Capex plans.
- Any future equity raise, if needed, will be minimal, with no dilution to promoter holdings as the promoters will contribute equally.
- For the Super alloy subsidiary (Vajra Alloys), a ~7 Cr. investment is planned at the subsidiary level, funded through a mix of debt and limited strategic fundraise.
- Overall, the company aims to avoid large equity dilution and prefers internal funding and controlled debt for expansions.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Current Capex: Over ₹100 crore investment to set up a cold rolling mill (CRM) with 60,000 tons per annum capacity, expected to start production by end of May next financial year.
- Future Capex: ₹2 crore investment in a desiccant manufacturing plant with 200 tonnes per month capacity, anticipated to generate ₹20-25 crore revenue by year 3-4.
- Strategic Investment: ₹7 crore investment in Vajra Alloys, a new subsidiary focused on Super Alloys and high-performance materials, targeting industrial and commercial applications initially.
- Additional Plans: Potential application under the Ministry of Steel's third round of PLI scheme for specialty steel, primarily for the cold rolling mill; assessing application for Superalloys due to ₹50 crore minimum investment criteria.
- Funding: Capex funded through raised funds, internal accruals, mix of debt and minimal strategic fundraise; promoter committed to avoid dilution.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company targets a minimum 25% year-on-year revenue growth over the next 3 years.
- Significant growth expected from the new cold rolling mill (CRM) with installed capacity of 60,000 tons/year.
- Additional revenue of at least ₹150 crore anticipated from CRM starting FY27, potentially crossing ₹200 crore.
- Specialty steel vertical to drive most of the long-term growth, leveraging higher capacity and better margins.
- Packaging vertical growth steady with ₹150 crore worth of bid pipeline; 20-30% conversion expected.
- Revenue from domestic market to dominate (>90%), with exports expected to grow modestly (15-20% annually).
- Progressive ramp-up in utilization of cold rolling mill capacity aiming for at least 50% utilization initially.
- New product lines like desiccant manufacturing projected to generate ₹20-25 crore by 3rd/4th year.
- Diversification into super alloys and specialty steels to improve revenue and profitability in medium term.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company targets a minimum 25% year-on-year revenue growth for the next 3 years.
- EBITDA margins are expected to sustain in the range of 13% to 15% in the long term.
- EBITDA CAGR guidance is a minimum of 25%, with potential for higher growth post production stabilization.
- PAT margins are anticipated around 7%, factoring in depreciation and other expenses.
- Additional revenue of at least ₹150 crore from the new cold rolling mill (CRM) is expected from FY27, possibly reaching ₹200 crore.
- Working capital cycle is planned to improve, aiming to reduce receivable days from current ~120 to less than 45, helping cash flows.
- Growth will increasingly come from the specialty steel vertical alongside packaging, driven by new capacities and higher margin products such as super alloys.
- The company expects positive free cash flow from H2 next year despite ongoing CapEx.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current confirmed order book includes over ₹25 crore from Vedanta and ongoing orders from other major clients, totaling around ₹150 crore in the pipeline for packaging contracts.
- Total order pipeline over the next 5 years stands at approximately ₹180 crore, with a significant portion being short-term annual POs rather than long-term contracts.
- Out of a previous pipeline of ₹750 crore, over 20% (₹150 crore) orders have already been received.
- Packaging contracts are moving towards longer-term agreements (2-5 years) for stability, though many current contracts are annual.
- Bid pipeline for packaging segment currently includes orders worth over ₹150 crore with an expected 20-30% conversion rate.
- Large orders like ₹107 crore from Vedanta were received recently, with more orders in the pipeline.
- Specialty steel segment orders expected to grow as new production capacities come online.
