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Krishca Strapping Solutions LtdQ1 FY23

Krishca Strapping Solutions Ltd

Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

4 of 5 growth signals are positive — a strong management growth story.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • The company is optimistic about a 35% to 45% revenue increase for FY 23-24.
  • Expects to achieve minimum 40% year-on-year revenue growth for the next five years.
  • Plans to utilize full installed capacity of INR 300 crores to INR 350 crores revenue within five years.
  • Export sales are targeted to increase from current 10-15% to 20-30% in this financial year, with a new Dubai office to support this expansion.
  • A new production line expected to be operational by December 2023 to boost volumes and revenue.
  • Entry into packing contracts anticipated to contribute significantly, aiming for about 30% of revenue in 3-4 years.
  • Optimism about growth driven by new production lines, packing contract division, and international expansion (Middle East).

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company is optimistic about a revenue increase of 35% to 45% in FY 23-24.
  • They target a minimum 40% year-on-year revenue growth for the next five years.
  • Profit margins (PAT) are expected to remain in the 11%-14% range at minimum, with potential to increase.
  • Earnings per share (EPS) saw a significant rise from INR 2.22 in FY22 to INR 10.68 in FY23.
  • The new production line operational by December 2023 will contribute to higher sales and earnings.
  • Expansion into packing contracts and export markets (including a Dubai office) is expected to drive future revenue and profit growth.
  • The company aims to fully utilize new capacity within 5 years, targeting revenues of INR 300-350 crores annually.
  • Overall, there is a highly optimistic outlook for robust earnings and operating profit growth aligned with capacity expansion and market initiatives.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • No new fundraising through debt is planned; the company aims to remain debt-free except for working capital limits.
  • The capacity expansion is fully funded through proceeds from the IPO and internal cash accruals.
  • The IPO proceeds have been utilized to pre-close unsecured loans and invest in new production lines.
  • There are no current plans for raising additional equity or debt for future expansion mentioned in the call.
  • The company is focusing on organic growth with existing resources, leveraging IPO funds and cash flows.

Order book

Yes
  • About 40% of the current order book consists of long-term contracts with various mills, including a five-year contract and a six-month contract with POSCO for six service centers in India.
  • Additionally, there are one- or two-year contracts with packing contractors.
  • The remaining 60% of sales are to multiple customers who buy on a month-to-month or spot basis depending on their requirement.
  • In terms of contracts offering cost-plus margin protection, around 50% of orders have fixed EBITDA margins with price adjustments passed on monthly or quarterly based on raw material price fluctuations.
  • No explicit total order book value or pending orders amount is disclosed on page 19.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company is undertaking a capacity expansion to double its current installed capacity to 36,000 metric tons per annum for steel straps, targeting INR300-350 crores in revenue.
  • The new production line will manufacture ultra-high tensile steel strapping with annual installed capacity of 18,000 metric tons, contributing to top-line growth and profitability.
  • Expansion of strapping seals capacity by 30%, increasing from 80 million to 120 million tons of seals, with a small investment of around INR10 lakhs expected to complete by next month.
  • IPO proceeds have been utilized for the capacity expansion and repayment of unsecured loans; approximately 40%-50% of funds already deployed towards production line advancement.
  • The company plans to enter the packing contract segment, seen as a significant strategic opportunity, aided by IPO funds.
  • Future plans include setting up a production line in the Middle East after establishing a local presence via an office in Dubai within 1.5 to 2 years.

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