KRN Heat Exchanger and Refrigeration LtdQ3 FY26

KRN Heat Exchanger and Refrigeration Ltd Q3 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 1,468P/E: 103.9Market Cap: ₹7.9K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • The new manufacturing facility capacity is extended 6x; expected revenue ramp-up is gradual.
  • Target to achieve 20% capacity utilization of the new facility in FY '26 and 50% in FY '27.
  • Existing facility operates at near full capacity.
  • Total company revenue potentially around INR 750-800 crores in FY '26 considering new and existing facilities.
  • New business segments like bus air conditioning, bar and plate heat exchangers, and railway HVAC expected to contribute growth.
  • Industry growth in commercial HVAC expected at ~20% CAGR for the next 10 years.
  • Export revenue targeted to reach 50% of total revenue in three years, with focus on North America, Europe, and UAE.
  • Capital expenditure pending around INR 25 crore, with total new facility capex about INR 350 crore.
  • EBITDA margins aimed to sustain around 20%, with potential improvement due to incentives and tax benefits from new facility.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company aims to improve PAT by at least 1% to 1.5% over the next two to three years despite increasing depreciation and overheads.
  • New facility ramp-up targets: ~20% capacity utilization in FY26 and 50% in FY27, potentially boosting revenues and profits.
  • EBITDA margin guidance: Sustainable around 20%, with minor quarter-to-quarter fluctuations due to raw material price pass-through.
  • Incentives from REITs, PLI, and new facility-related tax benefits at 15% expected to further enhance profitability.
  • Industry growth expected at 20% CAGR, commercial HVAC segment showing robust expansion, supporting company growth.
  • Export revenue target: 50% share in three years, with international demand particularly in North America and Europe.
  • Acquisition of bus air conditioning technology expected to open new market segments (bus and railway HVAC), contributing to future growth.

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Fundraise plans

  • As of the November 6, 2025 call, the management did not provide detailed guidance on future capital expenditure or fundraising plans.
  • They mentioned that the current pending capex is around INR 25 crores out of a total INR 350 crores.
  • Future capex plans for FY26 and FY27 are still under consideration and will be communicated after 4 to 5 weeks.
  • No explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity was made during the call.
  • The management emphasized existing investments and pending payments to vendors but did not indicate the need for immediate new fundraising.

Order book

  • The company does not maintain a project-based order book.
  • Orders are considered as rolling orders rather than booked projects.
  • No specific outstanding order book figure was provided during the call.
  • New customers were added significantly, with an estimated 40 to 50 new customers across various product components in the last quarter.
  • Sales geography remains largely the same with some recent expansion to Sri Lanka.
  • The company focuses on ongoing supply to existing customers and new customers in existing geographies.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Current capex on new facility totals around INR 350 crores, with approximately INR 25 crores still pending payment to vendors.
  • The new facility, which commenced operations on May 30, 2025, expanded capacity by 6 times.
  • The company is targeting 20% utilization of the new capacity in FY 2026 and 50% utilization in FY 2027.
  • Additional capex plans for FY 27 and beyond are under consideration and expected to be finalized within 4-5 weeks from November 2025.
  • Solar power investments are underway with two types: in-house consumption and on-grid system; both expected operational within two weeks from November 2025, providing approximately 0.5% revenue cost savings.
  • The company acquired a bus air conditioning technology company to enhance backward integration and future revenue growth, aiming at INR 160 crores revenue from this segment next year.
  • New facility investments include REITs, PLI incentives, and income tax benefits contributing to improved profitability.

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