Krsnaa Diagnostics LtdQ3 FY24

Krsnaa Diagnostics Ltd Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 575P/E: 17.7Market Cap: ₹1.8K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • The company targets a sustained revenue growth of approximately 30% CAGR for FY24 and FY25, excluding the Rajasthan project.
  • FY24 expects around Rs. 600 crores revenue with Rs. 180-200 crores per quarter in FY25.
  • New projects in Odisha, Assam, Maharashtra CT, Himachal Pradesh, and BMC are key growth contributors for FY25.
  • Rajasthan project revenue potential has revised upward to Rs. 300 crores due to district reorganization, though commercialization may shift to FY25.
  • Additional tenders, including a large radiology tender in Andhra Pradesh and others in the pipeline, are expected to add Rs. 140 to Rs. 200 crores top-line by FY25 and beyond.
  • Mature centers and existing projects also expected to grow at 8-30%, supporting overall 30% growth trajectory.
  • B2C business segment gradually scaling up with positive early traction.

Margin guidance

Category 3
- Krsnaa Diagnostics expects to maintain a 30% year-on-year revenue growth trajectory for FY25, supported by ramping up projects in Odisha, Assam, Maharashtra (CT project), BMC (Mumbai), Himachal Pradesh, and Punjab. - EBITDA margins are projected to improve, targeting a sustainable range of 26-28% for FY24, with further margin expansion anticipated in FY25 as more projects mature and operational efficiencies improve. - The company expects reported EBITDA margins of around 25% for FY24, including the impact of ongoing implementation costs, which will reduce as projects mature. - Net profit margins grew to 7% in Q2 FY24 and 12% normalized in H1 FY24; projections indicate continued growth in profitability with operational scale and cost control. - The ramp-up of new labs and centers, including expected contributions from Assam and Odisha starting Q4 FY24, are key to margin and profit growth. - B2C segment growth and expansion into wellness packages add incremental revenue streams. Overall, Krsnaa Diagnostics anticipates robust future earnings growth driven by strategic project implementations and operational efficiencies.

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Fundraise plans

  • The transcript from the earnings call on page 22 and surrounding pages does not mention any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity.
  • As of September 30, 2023, the company holds a gross debt of Rs. 109 crores but maintains a net debt-free status with Rs. 236 crores in cash and cash equivalents.
  • No specific references were made to raising additional funds via debt or equity in the near future.
  • The management focuses on organic growth through existing projects and new tenders without highlighting fundraising plans.
  • Any significant capital expenditures, such as on Rajasthan, are currently minimal and expensed rather than capitalized.
  • For inquiries, investors are encouraged to contact the Investor Relations Team, but no fundraising announcements were disclosed in this call.

Order book

Yes
  • Rajasthan contract: Revenue potential revised from Rs. 150 crores to Rs. 300 crores due to reorganization of districts from 33 to 50; contract terms remain unchanged. Pending execution of agreements expected soon after High Court order; commercial revenues anticipated from next fiscal.
  • Other major active PPP projects in pipeline: Odisha, Assam, Maharashtra CT project, Himachal Pradesh, BMC project.
  • New tenders: Andhra Pradesh (Radiology), other states in evaluation but details not disclosed yet.
  • Expected additional topline from new tenders excluding Rajasthan: ~Rs. 140 crores in FY25, with maximum potential up to Rs. 200 crores.
  • Existing projects and new tenders combined aimed to sustain around 30% year-on-year growth in revenues.
  • Punjab tender fully implemented; revenue ramping up with new home collection services.
  • Order execution timelines: Maharashtra CT project expected completed by FY24-end; Rajasthan possibly delayed to next fiscal due to elections.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company is investing in setting up new laboratories and collection centers as part of various Public-Private Partnership (PPP) projects across states like Assam, Odisha, Maharashtra (CT project), Himachal Pradesh, and Mumbai (BMC project).
  • They have invested in expanding the Mumbai lab to support the rapid operationalization of around 462 centers under the BMC contract.
  • Ongoing capex includes setting up Radiology centers, Pathology labs, and collection centers which require upfront costs for equipment, manpower, interiors, infrastructure, and logistics.
  • While initial quarters incur higher expenses due to front-loaded investments, these centers typically mature after 2-3 years, leading to improved margins.
  • No significant capitalization has been made for the Rajasthan project yet; only operational expenses have been incurred and expensed out.
  • They expect capex costs to reduce over time as projects mature and ramp up operations, contributing positively to margins going forward.

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