
M M Forgings Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
2 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- FY'23 revenue target: INR 14-15 billion (INR 1,400-1,500 crores).
- FY'24 revenue expectation: Beyond INR 2,000 crores.
- FY'25 revenue: Expected to be further above INR 2,000 crores.
- Volume growth: 20%-25% expected growth in tonnage and revenues next year (FY'24).
- Capacity utilization end of year: Around 65%-70% of 110,000 tons capacity, with plans to augment press capacity to 30,000 tons.
- Growth driven by a mix of Indian market demand and export markets (India 60%-65%, Europe 15%, US 15%).
- Positive outlook for CV and PV segments, supported by India's growing economy and "China plus one" strategy globally.
- Introduction of new products and increased machining share expected to improve realizations and drive growth beyond industry rates.
- Moderate growth potential in EV segment with order wins and planned powertrain offerings by FY'24 and FY'25.
See what M M Forgings management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.
Fundraise plans
- MM Forgings Limited has embarked on a significant capital expenditure (capex) plan worth INR 500 crores starting this year, focused mainly on expanding machining capacity and adding a large 6,300-ton press.
- There is no specific mention of new fundraising through debt or equity in the transcript.
- The company is evaluating capacity expansion plans but has not frozen any new capex beyond the ongoing INR 500 crores.
- Management noted that capital is not an issue, but capex allocation is to be carefully managed.
- No direct references to raising fresh debt or equity funding were made in the call.
See what M M Forgings management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.
Capex plans
Yes- The company has embarked on a capex of INR 500 crores starting this year.
- Approximately INR 200-300 crores of this is allocated to expanding machining capacity.
- Around INR 100 crores is directed towards forging capacity enhancement.
- Another INR 100 crores is focused on the electric vehicle (EV) or electrical side.
- They plan to add one 6,300-ton press, increasing total press capacity to about 30,000 tons by Q2 of the next fiscal year (June to September).
- Capex spent till the first nine months is approximately INR 200 crores.
- Expected capex spend in Q4 is INR 60 crores to INR 70 crores.
- The company is evaluating additional capacity expansion plans beyond the ongoing capex but has not finalized anything yet.
- EV business is initially renting premises and plans to build factory premises later near Chennai.
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