Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Ltd

Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Leisure Services

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Limited does not foresee the need to borrow money to fund its planned growth. - The company generates sufficient cash from its business to fund capex and expansion without external debt. - Capex needs will be met internally, optimizing a mix of owned assets, long-term leases, PPP models, and acquisitions. - No mention of any current or future plans for equity fundraising is noted in the provided transcript. - The focus is on cash generation from operations and internal accruals to support the addition of 5000 new rooms and expansion plans.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Ongoing capex of ₹835 Crores for 690 rooms across five Greenfield, Brownfield, and acquisition projects. - New Greenfield resort projects: 152 keys at Theog and 236 keys at Ganpatipule. - Expansion of existing resorts: Kandaghat (185 keys added), Sonora Goa (44 keys), Puducherry (62 keys), and Tree House Jaipur (54 keys). - Public-private partnership (PPP) model is a major focus for inventory expansion; discussions ongoing with multiple state governments including Maharashtra, Odisha, and Uttarakhand for new resorts. - Plans to move from 5000 to 10000 rooms largely through a mix of Greenfield builds, expansion, leases, and acquisitions. - Capex for Greenfield projects ~₹1.1 Crores per key; refurbishment/PPP models generally lower. - No immediate need for external borrowing; growth will be funded through cash generation. - Strategic investment in sustainability including solar power capacity increase to 11.7 MW in FY24 and carbon neutrality goal by 2040.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Focus on accelerating member additions aligned with rapidly growing room inventory. - Expand room inventory from 5,000 to 10,000 rooms, supported by ongoing projects and capex of 835 Crores for 690 keys. - Target primarily India for expansion, focusing on Greenfield resorts, expansion of existing resorts, long-term leases, PPP projects, and acquisitions. - Leverage various channels like digital sales (including 55% digital referral plus digital member additions), corporate channels, and tier 2 and tier 3 cities. - Employ a product portfolio strategy including shorter tenure products to attract new customers and generate higher per room night profitability. - Increase focus on upgrades and referrals to enhance membership value and lifetime revenue. - Aim to generate sufficient cash flows and multiple annuity revenue streams to fund expansion and grow profits. - Expect sustained operational improvements and room addition run rates higher than previous years.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Mahindra Holidays plans aggressive expansion, doubling room count from 5,000 to 10,000 by FY 2030. - Capex of ₹835 Crores already underway for 690 rooms across Greenfield, Brownfield, and acquisition projects. - Expansion includes new resorts (e.g., Theog, Ganpatipule) and enlargements of existing resorts. - Use of mixed asset models: owned, long-term leases (including PPP), and acquisitions to optimize cost per key. - Strong cash generation reduces need for borrowing to fund growth. - EBITDA margin improvements seen are operational and sustainable, excluding forex one-offs. - Focus on growing membership, increasing upgrades and reducing cost of acquisition. - Positive outlook on earnings driven by increasing inventory, member additions, annuity revenue streams, and cost efficiencies. - EBITDA margin at 22.1% (Q2) and profit growth expected as network expands and utilization improves.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- As of the report, Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Limited has a strong order book with significant ongoing projects. - They have deployed capex of ₹835 Crores across five projects, adding 690 keys (rooms). - The company aims to accelerate room addition from 5,000 to 10,000 keys, reflecting a robust and aggressive plan for inventory expansion. - Conversations are ongoing for acquisitions and partnerships, including PPP models and long-term leases, to optimize inventory and strategic locations. - Some projects may experience delays due to approvals or on-ground issues, but the company remains confident in exceeding previous run rates of room additions. - Overall, the order book reflects a firm commitment to aggressive expansion backed by cash generation and ongoing funding from their growing member base.