Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd
Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Automobiles
fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No explicit mention of any immediate or near-term plans for new fundraising through debt or equity in the excerpts.
- Anish Shah mentioned they do not foresee increasing their stake in RBL Bank beyond the current ~3.5% anytime soon; increasing stake to 5% or more is "completely ruled out."
- There is a focus on strong cash flow generation in core businesses (auto, farm, services) with principle to use cash flows within their respective businesses.
- EV investments are expected to be primarily self-funded or funded within the auto/farm cash flows.
- Any capital allocation will be based on high confidence in returns and strong strategic rationale.
- The company is monitoring breakthrough projects and is disciplined and agile in capital allocation, willing to act fast if things don't work.
- No mention of planned equity or debt issuance; rather, emphasis on managing cash flows and capital allocation efficiently.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Mahindra & Mahindra is investing strategically in battery technology with partners and co-investors rather than fully funding a battery plant on its own, focusing on indigenization and geopolitical sustainability (Page 27).
- RBL Bank investment of Rs. 417 crores taken at the M&M level for strategic option value in financial services; no immediate plans for Mahindra Finance becoming a bank but keeping the option open for the future (Pages 3, 11, 12, 15).
- Capital allocation disciplined by focusing investments within core sectors: auto, farm, financial services, IT services, and growth gems (Page 27).
- Capital will only be allocated when there's high confidence in returns superior to competitors; leadership must demonstrate clear milestones and implementation plans (Pages 12, 17).
- Free cash flow reinvested within respective sectors (auto cash flow for auto, farm cash flow for farm, services cash flow for services) to fund investments, including EV with evolving funding plans (Pages 5, 12).
- Future investments outside core areas only if highly compelling with significant synergy; currently, a 95-99% probability of staying within core sectors (Page 27).
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Auto business expects significant SUV volume growth; crossed 100,000 units in the quarter, with strong bookings (280,000 open bookings for Thar, Scorpio, Scorpio N, and 700).
- Farm machinery targeted to grow by 40% this year due to a low base and multiple new product launches including the relaunched Swaraj harvestor.
- Growth expected supported by positive factors like good monsoon, increased kharif sowing, and improved farmer terms of trade.
- Auto segment plans to ramp up EV sales (XUV 400) especially post-November after stabilizing production and quality.
- Market share gains are ongoing in auto (both volume and revenue) and farm (around 20 basis points increase despite challenges).
- Overall, consistent 15-20% EPS growth is targeted, with past quarters showing up to 60% growth.
- Supply chain agility and capacity to respond to volatility are key to capturing growth opportunities.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Mahindra & Mahindra targets a consistent EPS growth of 15% to 20% going forward, following a strong recent quarter with 60% EPS growth (Page 8).
- The company is focused on capital allocation discipline to drive both growth and returns without trading off one for the other (Page 8).
- They expect to maintain an 18% return threshold while continuing to drive growth (Page 8).
- Margin improvements have been substantial, nearing FY19 levels despite no significant commodity cost corrections; intent to over-deliver on margins remains (Page 14).
- The business is in a significant growth phase in segments like farm machinery with expected 40% plus growth based on low current market share and new product launches (Page 22).
- Incremental EBIT margin gains will be balanced between reinvestment and profit flow-through depending on market conditions and lifecycle stage of the business (Page 18).
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- There are currently many vehicle bookings, for example, the Thar has around 280,000 bookings.
- The cancellation rate on bookings is about 8% average per quarter, ranging from 4% to 8% monthly.
- Dealer stock is typically around 30 days, allowing for customer convenience in delivery timing.
- Some orders involve customers choosing to delay vehicle pickup by 1-15 days for personal or auspicious reasons.
- The Bolero and XUV 300, which are priced below ₹10 lakh, have less momentum currently compared to vehicles priced above ₹10 lakh.
- Retail sales are approximately 10% lower than wholesale for the period under discussion, partly due to dealer inventory and delivery timing.
- The company expects to destock during the festive season when demand increases.
