Maithan Alloys Ltd

Q1 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis

Ferrous Metals

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No explicit mention of immediate new fundraising through debt or equity. - The company is retaining cash (around Rs. 667 crores currently) to fund organic growth like the Greenfield project and to be prepared for inorganic expansion opportunities. - Debt aversion is emphasized; historically, debt was taken only to fund one expansion at a time, and loans were prepaid before starting new projects. - For the Greenfield project, expected CAPEX is around Rs. 275 crores, funded from internal accruals without external financing. - Inorganic acquisitions are being evaluated but timing and size are uncertain. - The company prefers to use cash for growth; if unable to deploy cash, may consider returning money to shareholders. - No plans for large buybacks unless growth opportunities don't materialize.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Greenfield Capex: Maithan Alloys has approved a Greenfield Ferro alloy manufacturing unit in West Bengal with an estimated capacity of 1.2 lakh tonnes per annum and a project cost of about Rs. 275 crores, expected to be completed in 24 months. - FY20-FY21 Capex: Approximately 20% of the Greenfield project CAPEX will be spent in FY20, with the major expenses in FY21. - Funding: The entire CAPEX for the Greenfield project will be funded internally; the company is retaining cash (~Rs. 667 crores currently) for growth investments. - Inorganic Growth: The company is actively evaluating inorganic expansion opportunities but face delays due to third-party issues. No certainty on scale or timing yet. - Power Investments: Evaluating power sourcing options; board approval taken but no large investments planned. - Regulatory Delays: Environmental clearances for the Greenfield plant are pending; timeline extended by approximately six months due to approvals.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Domestic market growth potential is higher than export market, with increased steel consumption in India driving higher demand for Manganese Alloys. - Maithan Alloys plans to focus more deeply on the Indian market rather than exports, especially for Manganese products. - Export focus will be primarily for Chrome products, targeting both domestic and Asian export markets. - Current capacity for Ferro and Silico Manganese in India is about 2.5 million tonnes, nearly fully utilized, so industry growth via capacity expansion is limited. - Companyโ€™s upcoming Greenfield project in West Bengal will add 1.2 lakh tonnes capacity in about 24 months, boosting production volumes. - Inorganic growth opportunities are being evaluated, though timelines and scale are uncertain. - Existing production is close to full capacity (2.25 lakh tonnes in FY19), indicating volume growth will rely on new capacities coming online. - Overall revenue growth expected to track steel industry growth and increased alloy consumption domestically.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Maithan Alloys targets sustaining long-term EBITDA margins between 15% to 17%, reflecting consistent operating profitability. - FY19 EBITDA was Rs. 322 crores with margins at 16%; PAT margin stood at about 12.8%. - Revenue grew 6% in FY19, with manufacturing revenue over 90% of total operations. - Company plans a Greenfield expansion in West Bengal (1.2 lakh tonnes capacity) expected within 24 months, enhancing future capacity and growth. - Inorganic growth is actively pursued; acquisition discussions ongoing but timing uncertain. - Cash reserves (~Rs. 667 crores) are retained for growth opportunities rather than returns to shareholders; investments expected in new plants and acquisitions. - Operating ROCE is above 60%, indicating efficient capital use underpinning earnings growth. - No specific EPS guidance mentioned, but strong margin and capacity expansion plans suggest positive earnings and EPS growth ahead.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Maithan Alloys typically maintains an order book with about 3 monthsโ€™ worth of orders to ensure continuous production and avoid a zero-order book situation. - Contracts vary in duration: - Spot contracts (one-time, small quantities) are less preferred. - Fixed price contracts usually last 3-4 months, providing reasonable visibility. - Longer contracts (6-12 months) are fewer and have prices linked to published market indices, allowing price adjustments at shipment time. - The company actively negotiates prices regularly to maintain this order pipeline and manage pricing risk. - This approach balances stability and flexibility, ensuring sustained operations without long-term price risks.