Max Healthcare Institute Ltd
Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Healthcare Services
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Ongoing expansions include 2,600 beds with 300 beds expected by FY24-end and approximately 819 beds in FY25 (Nanavati 329 beds, Mohali 190 beds, Gurgaon 300 beds).
- Max Shalimar Bagh brownfield expansion operational with 78% occupancy; brownfields have quick EBITDA breakeven (within quarter or two).
- Greenfield projects comprise 10% of expansion with breakeven expected within 12 months.
- Max Smart at Saket: 350 beds delayed but work to restart by Dec 2023.
- Max Vikrant at Saket and Patparganj expansions progressing with approvals underway.
- Strategic focus on fiscal discipline while deploying cash; acquisitions considered at right price but prefer built-to-suit, asset-light models over Greenfields.
- Developer of Dwarka hospital (300 beds) applied for occupancy certificate, expected commissioning Q4 2023.
- Planned capital deployment on both capacity expansion and inorganic opportunities; accumulation of cash with intent to invest soon.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Occupied bed days grew 3% YoY and 5% QoQ with average occupancy at 77%; inpatient discharges up 7% YoY.
- Network gross revenue increased 17% YoY, driven by ARPOB growth and higher occupied bed days.
- Revenue from international business grew 25% YoY and 11% QoQ; international revenue now ~9% of hospital revenue.
- Oncology specialty revenue growing faster (26%-28%) than overall business (17%), driven by higher disease burden and insurance penetration.
- Capacity to expand with 2,600 beds coming online over next 3-4 years, adding significant growth runway.
- Institutional business ARPOB up 28% YoY due to mix change rather than price hike.
- Expect continued multi-decade growth opportunity due to under-penetration of quality healthcare in India.
- EBITDA and cash flow expected to maintain robust growth trajectory with bed expansions and operational efficiencies.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Expectation of continued strong revenue and EBITDA growth trajectory of around 20% per year over the next 3-5 years, supported by both organic expansion and inorganic opportunities.
- Network EBITDA grew 20% year-on-year in H1 FY24, reflecting operational efficiencies and improved payor mix.
- EBITDA per bed increased by 15% indicating improved profitability and operational leverage.
- Upcoming capacity expansion of ~2,600 beds over the next 3-4 years, mostly brownfield projects with quick breakeven typically within 1-2 quarters, will drive higher cash flows and earnings growth.
- The recent brownfield expansion (Shalimar Bagh) reported EBITDA growth of 48% year-on-year, showcasing strong margin expansion.
- Continued improvement expected from payor mix upgrades, specialty focus (oncology growth of 26-28%), and international patient revenue growth.
- Management highlights disciplined capital allocation to sustain 20%+ earnings growth and long-term value creation.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The company has a significant development pipeline with 2,600 new beds coming up in the next few years.
- Specific projects under progress include:
- 329 beds at Nanavati: Excavation and raft work complete; ground level structure expected to be finished within the current quarter.
- 300 beds at Sector 56, Gurgaon: Site excavation almost done; EPC contractor on board; project on schedule.
- 190 beds at Mohali: D-wall completed; excavation underway; statutory approvals all received; project on time.
- 350 beds at Max Smart, Saket: Delayed due to tree transplant permissions but work to commence from December 2023.
- 300 beds at Vikrant, Saket: Environmental clearance received; municipal submissions in process.
- 250 beds at Patparganj: Drawings submitted; environmental clearance application submitted.
- All projects are progressing on schedule without delays.
- No new project acquisitions have been added in the last two years, but the company is actively looking at 20+ cities for expansion, including acquisitions and partnerships, with expected announcements soon.
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The management did not mention any immediate plans for fundraising through debt or equity during the call.
- They highlighted accumulating cash and being conscious of fiscal discipline in deployments.
- Cash and leverage capacity are viewed as limited relative to large acquisition opportunities available at high valuations (15-16X EV/EBITDA).
- They intend to deploy capital carefully, balancing expansion and acquisitions with fiscal prudence.
- No explicit mention of upcoming debt or equity issuance was made; instead, focus is on organic growth, brownfield expansions, and select acquisitions.
- The existing cash and balance sheet strength are considered adequate for near-term expansion, with plans to announce acquisitions soon.
Overall, no current or immediate new fundraising through debt or equity was disclosed.
