Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd
Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Industrial Manufacturing
margin: Category 3orderbook: Yesfundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3
ποΈcapex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited plans to invest around INR 5,000 crores over the next couple of years in capex.
- The company has acquired 15 acres of land adjacent to the existing yard to develop a shipbuilding cum ship repair facility with a graving dry dock (~180m x 60m) and ancillary facilities.
- Another 40-acre land parcel near Nhava Sheva (JNPT area) is being developed with a graving dry dock and hardstands to build very large vessels.
- The new infrastructure will enable handling larger vessels and double current capacity in terms of concurrent platforms (currently 21).
- The capex is expected to take 4-5 years for completion due to environmental clearances and civil work.
- The company is focusing on capacity enhancement to support domestic defense, commercial shipbuilding, export defense, export commercial orders, and large vessel repairs.
πrevenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company is targeting a growth of around 10% to 12% over the previous year in top-line revenue.
- Revenue is expected to be sustained or see some growth due to offshore projects, Indian Coast Guard projects, and export orders.
- Small anticipated revenue dip possible but expected to be minimal.
- Execution of the ONGC order (INR 6,000-7,000 crores) is planned over two years, contributing significantly to sales in FY25-26.
- Future projects like the next-generation corvette, destroyers (including 17 Bravo), and additional submarine orders are in the pipeline, though not yet firm.
- Capacity expansion plans aim to facilitate growth, including commercial and export shipbuilding and repairs, potentially adding new revenue streams.
- Non-defense commercial shipbuilding is expected to grow faster as new capacity becomes available in 4-5 years.
- Active pursuit of exports and participation in emerging markets like green and hybrid shipping expected to contribute to future revenue growth.
πmargin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company expects a growth of around 10% to 12% in top line over the previous year.
- Normalized PBT margin is anticipated to be around 12% to 15% for new projects; current higher margins stem from project completions and efficiencies.
- Margins in the second half (H2) are expected to be similar to the first half (H1), with no significant changes anticipated.
- Revenue is expected to be sustained or grow slightly due to ongoing offshore and export projects, with only a very small potential dip.
- Execution of new large orders such as the ONGC order (INR 6,000-7,000 crores) over two years will contribute to income, with margins around 10-12%.
- Long-term submarine projects (6-9 years) follow an S-curve revenue booking pattern, implying steady income over the project lifecycle.
- Capacity expansion is underway to support future domestic and export defense orders, as well as commercial shipbuilding, expected to drive future growth beyond existing order books.
πorderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Current orderbook includes execution of six large platforms and some smaller vessels, with 31 ships in ongoing execution including offshore projects and Indian Coast Guard orders.
- Three major projects currently executed:
- P-75 Scorpène submarines (five delivered, sixth near delivery),
- Project-15 Bravo destroyers (three delivered, fourth expected by Dec 2024),
- Project-17 Alpha frigates (first ship targeted for Dec 2024; subsequent three frigates scheduled for 2025-26 and 2026-27).
- Upcoming potential orders:
- Next-generation corvettes and destroyers under consideration by Indian Navy, but no firm commitments yet.
- Possibility of repeat order for Project-17 Bravo.
- Additional Offshore projects from ONGC worth approx. INR 7,000 to 8,000 crore with orders already approved and placed.
- Three add-on Scorpene submarines nominated with AON value approx. INR 27,000 crore (2018 estimate), awaiting cost benchmarking approval.
- Focus on export orders, commercial shipbuilding, and repairs to expand orderbook beyond current domestic defense contracts.
π°fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- There is no explicit mention of any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the call transcript.
- The company has a strong cash balance of around INR 4,000 crores and is utilizing it for capex plans, including INR 5,000 crores planned investment over the next couple of years for capacity enhancement.
- The management has emphasized utilizing internal cash resources for expansion rather than raising external funds.
- There is no discussion on issuing new equity or taking on new debt during the Q&A session.
- Given the significant internal cash reserves and ongoing capex funded through these, no immediate fundraising is indicated.
