
MEP Infrastructure Developers Ltd Q3 FY17 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 2
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
Yes
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
3 of 5 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 2- The company expects significant growth in infrastructure, particularly in the road sector, supported by government budget provisions.
- FY 2018 government budget allocates INR 64,000 crore for infrastructure, 24% higher than FY 2017.
- NHAI plans to award 10%-15% more projects (~5,000-5,200 km) in FY 2018 compared to FY 2016.
- Around 40% of awarded projects are under the hybrid annuity model, where MEP holds a leadership position.
- There is a large pipeline of hybrid annuity projects, with six projects totaling ~INR 3,000+ crore under execution, with expected EBITDA margins of 12%-14%.
- The TOT (Toll Operate Transfer) model represents a large upcoming opportunity with clusters of 75 toll projects (~4,500 km) expected to raise INR 80,000-1,00,000 crore in 1-2 years.
- MEP is actively bidding for 6-8 out of 24 available HAM projects, maintaining consistent margin expectations.
- Revenue from existing and new hybrid annuity projects expected to grow substantially over the next 2-3 years.
See what MEP Infrastructure Developers Ltd management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.
Fundraise plans
Yes- The company has already infused equity for the current hybrid annuity projects through rights/preferential issues approved by the board, targeting funding for the next 6 to 12 months.
- Discussions were underway to raise preferential capital by end of March 2017 to support equity needs for hybrid annuity projects.
- For TOT projects expected to come up starting April, actual equity infusion and fundraising are likely 9 to 12 months post bidding due to large ticket sizes.
- Debt levels remained largely stable as of Q3 FY17 since financial closure was completed but debt drawdown for hybrid annuity projects had not yet happened.
- Working capital was managed via monetization of receivables and promoter infusion, avoiding increased borrowing so far.
- Incremental equity/fundraising may be required for future projects, with no specific immediate plans mentioned for new debt or equity beyond preferential issues for current projects.
See what MEP Infrastructure Developers Ltd management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.
Capex plans
Yes- MEP Infrastructure Developers Limited has infused equity of approximately INR 170-200 Crores combined with JV partners across four of six hybrid annuity projects, apportioned on a pro-rata basis (60%-74% depending on shareholding).
- Additional equity infusion is planned over a 2.5-year period from the appointed date to COD for these projects.
- The company's board has approved a rights/preferential issue to raise funds needed for the next 6 to 12 months equity requirements for hybrid annuity projects.
- The company is evaluating and bidding for 24 HAM projects in the public domain, expecting to bid for at least 6-8 projects, with some bidding already done.
- For TOT projects, equity infusion is expected post 9 to 12 months after bidding.
- Capital requirements for TOT projects are predicted to be significantly larger than current projects.
- Equity infusion and possible capital raising from the market will be balanced alongside monetizing receivables and promoter contributions.
- No immediate increase in debt observed as financial closures are recent and funded via equity or other sources.
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